CBAM ‘bureaucratic monster’ but ‘right’ tool
The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is a “bureaucratic monster” with flaws, but also a well-intended tool, panellists said during the Kallanish Green Steel Strategies event in Brussels on Wednesday.
“It’s a bureaucratic monster,” asserted Alexander Julius, managing partner of distributor macroMETAL and EUROMETAL Presidency member.
Christoph Zinsser, head of project finance at Stegra, agreed with the definition of “monster”. He also however noted the need to stay on course for the scheme. “The biggest challenge is if uncertainty comes into this, a risk of regulation changing frequently – that would be the worst outcome, from our perspective,” he noted.
Panellists nevertheless saw it as the right tool for the task of keeping carbon-intensive steel out of the EU, but they called for changes to be made to expand the scope of products covered.
“It’s the right tool; it needs development over many years to come … There is a lot of work still to be done,” Zinsser said.
Julius warned that instead of CBAM-levied steel being shipped to the EU, steel-consuming final goods are arriving instead. “The only problem is … ready made products are entering the EU; carbon leakage is not today active, but those products are coming without regulations and without the bureaucratic environment. Those products are not under the HS codes considered by the European commission,” he said.
“If we want to avoid carbon leakage, which is a good idea, we need the protection, we need to go the whole road down. We need to also grab every single product in the value chain so that we are creating a level playing field for European manufacturing; otherwise, we are sacrificing [it],” he added. He called for coverage of the majority of HS codes in the value chain.
Zinsser also noted flaws in the mechanism, and the need for scope expansion.
“The practice [trial phase] will ultimately show all of the flaws that there undoubtedly still are,” he said.
Josu Piña Bilbao, director of business development at SSAB Europe, also agreed with calls for the scope to be extended but noted positives to the scheme.
“CBAM has sparked the investment of low-emissions steel in other regions, outside of Europe, especially countries which are interested to export to Europe. We will see a change in trade flows,” he noted.
He also touched on the topic of the potential of rebates for companies exporting from Europe, who were facing higher production costs and therefore not a level playing field.
“We are all waiting for [CBAM], so that there will be a level playing field after 2026, when importers will have to pay,” he added.
Meanwhile, Julius also noted that European producers still have their free allowances which, in most cases, should be valid past 2030, which means their carbon costs are basically not existent.
He added that CBAM will also change import flows, referring to countries such as Turkey which are 70% EAF based and therefore have an advantage when it comes to supplying the EU.
Carrie Bone UK
European Commission to consider changes to CBAM to help exporters
Development of relevant proposals is expected in 2026
The European Commission will explore options to help European industries affected by carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM), such as the steel and aluminum sectors. This was announced by the Director-General for Taxation and Customs Affairs of the European Commission Gerasimos Thomas, Bloomberg reports.
According to him, this will take place as part of the revision of the mechanism, which will be held next year. Based on the results of the discussion, the relevant proposals will be formed and presented in 2026. According to the official, the EU will leave no stone unturned to help the bloc’s exporters cope with the side effects of CBAM.
EU exporters complain that their products will become more expensive as emissions costs increase.
As Thomas noted in an interview at the COP29 climate conference in Baku, maintaining the competitiveness of European industry during the energy transition is a key priority of the second term of EC President Ursula von der Leyen. According to him, there are several ideas, and nothing is ruled out. Thomas also added that the EU realizes that the problem will have to be solved earlier than expected.
Previous attempts by European lawmakers to create a mechanism to help EU exporters were rejected because of concerns that it could violate WTO rules. The CBA has already been criticized by the bloc’s trading partners, such as Brazil and China. In addition, Thomas noted, the EU is waiting to see how the new US administration will react to the mechanism.
The United States has been calling for the development of its own CBAM analog: recently, both Democrats and Republicans have put forward relevant proposals.
Toward the end of 2025, the EU will announce what steps in the US and other countries can be considered equivalent to the European mechanism in terms of climate impact. The Director-General for Taxation and Customs Affairs of the European Commission emphasized that the EU will not allow circumvention of regulation, but there will be a system that encourages and incentivizes countries that take measures to minimize the environmental impact of carbon-intensive sectors covered by the CBA.
Source: gmk.center
Bureaucracy counteracts EU low-emission transition intentions: AIST conference
European regulation and bureaucracy are counteracting the region’s own good intentions to be a leader in the transition to cleaner steelmaking, according to panellists at last week’s AIST European Steel Forum 2024 in Essen.
Bettina Hübschen of the state of Saarland’s hydrogen-promoting agency, Saarländische Wasserstoffagentur, bemoaned the scale of regulation facing the market.
“We have succeeded in over-regulating a market that does not even exist,” she told delegates at the conference attended by Kallanish. “We need to give companies room to breathe,” she added, noting the complicated funding landscape in the region. “There are various schemes but [it is] very complicated for the companies to understand ‘what is right for me’.”
She also noted the long timeframe for applying and awaiting the outcome of the funding decision, which could take years, slowing down the process.
Other panellists concurred, with René Gissinger of Pipe GmbH saying: “We need to allow the market to do its job.”
He called CBAM a “horrible thing”, adding: “The ambition is high, but the execution is low.”
Gissinger nevertheless supports the drive towards CO2-reduced steels, as he hears customers asking for it. “Steel needs to turn green not to stay a dinosaur,” he asserted.
Meanwhile, Nicole Voigt of Boston Consulting Group warned not to get lost in easy “regulation-bashing”. During her research regarding CBAM, for example, she has noticed unexpected interest from overseas. “We get a lot of inquiries from China, which I did not expect,” she explained.
Christian Koehl Germany
UK government confirms 2027 CBAM introduction
The UK government has confirmed that its Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) will start from January 2027, it says in a published consultation document dated 30 October.
It says the mechanism will place a carbon price on some of the most emissions-intensive industrial goods imported to the UK from the aluminium, cement, fertiliser, hydrogen, iron and steel sectors. Within these sectors, the CBAM will only apply to specific imported “CBAM goods”, determined by the product level scope of the CBAM and identified by commodity code.
The document confirmed, as previously announced, the mechanism will be applied to “direct”, “indirect” and select “precursor” product emissions embodied in imported CBAM goods, Kallanish notes.
The consultation, which launched back in March, proposed that imported scrap, identified via commodity codes, within relevant sectors will not be within the scope of the UK CBAM.
The government adds that the January 2027 start date would balance the need to give businesses time to prepare, while also taking action on carbon leakage amid its ambition to decarbonise the country.
Companies who responded to the consultation include British Steel, Celsa Steel UK, Electrosteel UK Ltd, Hyundai Steel, Jaguar Land Rover, Mughal Steel, Salzgitter Mannesmann UK, Stemcor, Tata Steel Europe and UK steel.
The UK’s current main measure to mitigate carbon leakage risk is the system of free allocation under the UK ETS. Reforms to the UK ETS, as set out by the UK ETS Authority in July 2023, will reduce the number of permits available for purchase from government by 45% between 2023 and 2027, and the number of free allowances will also decrease.
The document also notes that in September 2024 the UK ETS Authority consulted on moving the start of the second free allocation period from 2026 to 2027 and extending the current allocation period to include 2026.
A move to 2027 would enable the government to align the implementation of the Free Allocation Review with the introduction of the UK CBAM, ensuring a holistic policy approach to carbon leakage, authorities observe.
The UK ETS Authority will make a final decision and respond to the consultation in due course.
Carrie Bone UK
European Commission study on the potential extension of the scope of the CBAM to downstream products
European Commission Directorate-General for Taxation and Customs Union (TAXUD) is conducting a Study on a potential CBAM scope extension to downstream products.
The objective of this study is to assess the feasibility of extending the scope of the CBAM to products further down the value chain (downstream products) of the goods that are currently listed in Annex I of the CBAM Regulation (upstream CBAM basic goods).
The purpose of including downstream products is to mitigate the risk of carbon leakage of upstream CBAM basic goods as well as the downstream products.
As part of the study, they are carrying out a stakeholder survey. The aim of this survey is to gather both evidence and the views of relevant stakeholders on the major concerns, areas of consensus or points of contention as regards a CBAM scope extension to downstream products.
Particularly, input is sought on the administrative burden and costs importers of downstream products may face in complying with the CBAM if the scope were to be extended to downstream products.
The survey will be open from today until October 25th, 2024.
You can find the link to the survey here: CBAMScopeDownstream2024
Password: CB4M_d0wnstream
More background information n the objectives of the study can be found in the introductory section of the survey.
CBAM is step forward but not enough to rebalance global markets, European IREPAS conference attendees say
CBAM, a carbon tariff for all carbon-intensive products imported into the European Union, was passed by the European Commission in December 2022 and its transitional phase began in October 2023.
Starting in October 2023, buyers of goods originating outside the EU must purchase certificates which equal the total emissions in the production of the goods.
There is no limit to the number of certificates that can be purchased to avoid restricting trade.
The cost of these certificates are calculated by the European Commission on a weekly basis according to the average price of the closing EU Emission Trading System (ETS) carbon dioxide (CO2) allowances for each week.
Impact of CBAM
CBAM can help to address imbalances related to European companies who are constrained by carbon taxes attempting to compete with countries who are not subject to any regulatory strictures, Louis Redshaw, Founder of Redshaw Advisors, told IREPAS attendees.
CBAM will help reduce carbon leakage, Redshaw said.
Carbon leakage was described when, for reasons of costs related to climate policies, businesses were to transfer production to other countries with more relaxed emission constraints, in turn resulting in an increase in their total emissions.
By placing a fair price on the carbon emitted during the production of all carbon-intensive products entering Europe, European mills, who currently need to pay for carbon credits equivalent to their carbon emissions, will be on a more equitable basis with importing countries who do not currently have the same taxes in place.
Some European market participants, however, were skeptical about how effective CBAM would be in rebalancing the playing field.
Carbon credits
European companies must buy carbon credits, normally from the government, to produce steel. When a company buys a carbon credit they can generate one ton of CO2 emissions.
The development of carbon credits turned carbon dioxide into a commodity, which could be monetized like any commodity.
Currently, the top 10% of the lowest emitting steel producers in Europe do not pay for carbon credits, while the remaining 90% of European steel producers have to pay varying amounts for carbon credits to offset their carbon emissions.
Pre-CBAM, European domestic mills were burdened by the cost of climate policies which non-EU countries were not, making them uncompetitive.
“CBAM will help to make competition fair. If importers are not taxed similarly to European mills, the European steel industry will die,” Redshaw said.
The greater a producer’s emission, the more they need to pay for carbon credits, thus incentivizing them to invest in decarbonizing processes.
By ensuring all countries importing steel into Europe have to pay similar amount, sustainable goals do not stop EU countries from being competitive or profitable.
Market responses
Many conference attendees felt that CBAM could help support European mills remain competitive when faced with so many economic challenges.
Some non-European exporters who were already providing CBAM certificates to buyers in Europe importing their stock, reported high levels of bureaucracy involved with submitting the correct information quarterly.
“It will help to put a fair price on the carbon emitted. Steel producers in Egypt who export to EU have already been asked to fill in necessary paperwork for CBAM. This is a very bureaucratic procedure and may become a burden in the future for producers,” a producer source from Egypt told Fastmarkets.
“CBAM will help support European mills and global targets towards becoming more sustainable,” a second producer source from Egypt said.
Skepticism
Some sources, especially in Europe, did not think CBAM would either encourage global decarbonization or significantly rebalance global markets.
CBAM has put a cost on carbon, but it is not enough to counter the other factors which have resulted in a lack of balance in the global markets, these sources said.
These factors included foreign country subsidies, lower gas and electricity costs, lower labor costs and lower or no regulations in the construction sector, the sources added.
These more skeptical market participants felt that by just putting a price on ‘carbon’, other key areas which required addressing were not being considered.
“Europe has been affected and limited by its own desire to become carbon efficient and this has been a contributing factor to Europe losing market share of steel production, weakening domestic demand and becoming uncompetitive domestically,” a German trader said.
Europe is currently trying to decarbonize, digitize and remain profitable, sources said. But, at least in the short term, the goal of decarbonizing is at odds with the goal of profitability, Fastmarkets heard.
“European producers don’t just have to deal with the carbon issue, they also have to deal with high energy costs because of high taxation on energy and renewable energy transformation and high energy costs and importing expensive raw materials and finding the money to invest in decarbonizing technology,” a producer source from Spain said.
Whereas there is a lot of pressure from every side to transition to low-carbon environment in Europe, this is not the same in non-EU countries.
In other countries, for example China and Algeria, where the steel industry is buoyed up by subsidies, carbon tariffs like CBAM will not incentivize them to decarbonize.
“China will just pay the increased costs with the massive government subsidies they receive. They will continue to emit just as much carbon and will continue to have far lower costs,” a trader at the conference said during a panel discussion.
“Even with CBAM and all countries importing into Europe having to pay for the cost of their carbon footprint, they still remain more competitive because of cheaper energy costs and cheaper labor costs,” a second producer source from Europe said.
Seven key things Fastmarkets learned during Irepas Fall 2024 meeting
More than 490 delegates from around the world gathered in Paris on September 15-17 to network and to participate in this key event for long steel producers.
Here are the seven main topics that were discussed at the conference:
Chinese dominance
China’s dominance in the international steel market has strengthened over the past year amid a drop in domestic demand and insufficient production cuts, and it was highly likely to continue in 2025.
Yeoh Wee Jin, secretary general of the South East Asia Iron & Steel Institute (SEAISI), described this year’s events in China as “a third tsunami” during a panel at the Irepas event. He expected the country’s steel exports to exceed 100 million tonnes this year, compared with 89 million tonnes in 2023.
Fall in iron ore prices
The decrease in steel production in China resulted in a fall in iron ore prices, as well as the accumulation of a significant stock of iron ore. Wilhelm Alff, chairman of the Irepas traders’ committee, said that iron ore stocks at Chinese ports currently totaled 149 million tonnes.
Fastmarkets’ daily index for iron ore 62% Fe fines, cfr Qingdao, has averaged $91.87 per tonne so far in September, compared with an average of $135.03 per tonne in January this year.
Meanwhile, scrap collection in Europe and the US has slowed down, Jens Björkman, the chairman of the raw material suppliers’ committee, said. This helped to support prices for the product despite delayed demand in Turkey.
The Middle Eastern country has switched to purchases of Chinese steel billet since the summer, when prices for the material became low enough to make production of rebar from billet more attractive than from scrap.
Fastmarkets’ daily index for steel scrap, HMS 1&2 (80:20 mix), North Europe origin, cfr Turkey, has averaged $363.36 per tonne so far in September, compared with $414.12 per tonne in January 2024.
Consequently, iron ore prices fell by almost 32% in the period under consideration, while those for scrap fell by 12.23%, making the blast furnace steel production route more profitable.
“Everybody wants to be a blast furnace-based steel producer for the next six months,” Alff said.
Shift in Turkey
Chinese steel prices remained attractive, including those for billet, so it was highly likely that Turkey would continue to meet its needs through billet imports, which would result in lower steel output in the country.
This situation could also exert pressure on scrap prices.
Trade defense
Turkey itself was limited in its long steel export opportunities at the moment, considering the imposition of trade defense measures in the US and in Canada, the almost-complete take-up of import quotas in the EU for the third quarter of 2024, with tonnages already sold for delivery in the fourth quarter, and with recent restrictions on the supply of steel products to Israel.
Some countries that formerly procured long steel from Turkey – such as Egypt, Algeria and states in the Gulf region – have become exporters themselves, according to the chairman of the Irepas producers’ committee, Murat Cebecioglu.
Yemen, plus a few other countries in the Middle East, and Latin America were currently the key destinations for Turkish long steel exports, he added.
Regional differences
Looking at the EU, Cebecioglu said that business has seemed to be at a standstill in the region for more than a year, and little or no improvement was expected in the next six months or so, a point on which other delegates at the event agreed.
Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) countries were currently in a slightly better position than those in other regions because their economies were moving in the right direction.
New projects in Saudi Arabia, for example, were creating demand in the region, with the construction and real estate sectors being the driving forces.
Yeoh said that ASEAN economies were also growing, albeit more slowly because of the generally unfavorable situation globally. He said that the construction sector was booming across the region, except in Thailand. Meanwhile, manufacturing was weakening, mainly due to soft external demand.
Earlier this year, he said that ASEAN steel demand was expected to reach 76.5 million tonnes in 2024, up from 73.5 million tonnes in 2023.
Overcapacity in Asia
Meanwhile, unsustainable overcapacity and de-greening were in prospect in Southeast Asia, with at least 104.4 million tonnes per year of new capacities expected to come onstream by 2030. These would push the region’s total capacity to 181.5 million tpy if they were all implemented, Yeoh said.
Around 83.6 million tpy of new capacity would be based on blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace technology, Yeoh said, while only 20.8 million tpy would be based on direct reduced iron (DRI) and electric-arc furnace (EAF) capacities, and this would lead to an “explosion” of greenhouse gas emissions by the region.
Decarbonization
At the same time, Europe’s imposition of its CBAM regulations and the global trend for decarbonization were other major topics at the Irepas event.
Since its start in October 2023, buyers of goods originating outside the EU must purchase certificates corresponding to the total volume of greenhouse gas emissions created by the production of the goods.
The costs of these certificates are calculated by the European Commission on a weekly basis, related to the average price of the closing EU Emission Trading System (ETS) carbon dioxide (CO2) allowance for each week.
By placing a fair price on the carbon emitted during the production of all carbon-intensive products entering Europe, European mills that currently must pay for carbon credits equivalent to their carbon emissions will be put on a more equitable basis with producers that operate in exporter countries that do not impose similar taxes.
Opinions were divided on the effects of the CBAM rules on the European market – and beyond it. Many delegates to the Irepas event felt that CBAM could help European mills to remain competitive when faced with economic challenges. Some sources, however, did not think that CBAM would either encourage global decarbonization or significantly rebalance global markets.
CBAM has put a cost on carbon, but it was not enough to counter the other factors which have resulted in a lack of balance in the global markets, these sources said.
These factors included foreign country subsidies, lower gas and electricity costs, lower labor costs, and fewer or no regulations in the construction sector, the sources added.
Global overcapacity was also expected to slow the decarbonization transition and to hamper innovation, Luciano Giua, economic and policy analyst at the Organisation for Economic Cooperation & Development (OECD), said during the event.
Published by: Vlada Novokreshchenova, India-Inés Levy
WTO, steel industry urge interoperable carbon pricing
Panellists at the recent WTO Public Forum focusing on steel sought to explain how interoperable carbon pricing mechanisms could support decarbonisation, Kallanish not
WTO deputy director-general Jean-Marie Paugam said interoperability is crucial in carbon measurement and trade mechanisms, emphasising the shared responsibility between the private sector and government.
Ola Hansen from Stegra, formerly H2 Green Steel, asked panellists how market mechanisms and policy instruments could be developed to support decarbonised steel in new markets, noting “deep green steel comes at a higher cost, making carbon pricing essential”.
Panellist Edwin Basson, director general at worldsteel, emphasised that putting a price on emissions, such as through CBAM, is essential for creating a global market, as many regions are considering similar mechanisms.
“CBAM plays now much more than just a European role. It is setting an expectation in other regions of the world as well. A common arbitrage mechanism for CO2 emissions could compel society to bear the costs of carbon emissions,” he noted.
“The key question is whether global systems can be developed that, while different, are interoperable – meaning they allow the comparison and trading of emission costs across various markets. This would be crucial in moving away from the need to subsidise CO2 reduction efforts globally, as a standardised system would drive the reduction of emissions by making their costs explicit and comparable worldwide,” he added.
Lower costs for green steel could come via trade facilitation and reducing regulatory burdens, according to Adina Renee Adler, executive director at the Global Steel Climate Council. “There’s likely a communications issue; as a trade policy community, we don’t always effectively convey what we’re doing,” she said.
Improving communication on the benefits of trade could generate widespread support, which would help lower product costs, even when initial production costs are high.
Meanwhile, Annie Heaton, chief executive at ResponsibleSteel, warned against using carbon policies for other purposes, like addressing overcapacity, instead of focusing solely on decarbonisation.
“We need to ensure that carbon policies are designed not to deal with that [overcapacity] but to deal with the climate change issue,” she opined.
Anne van Ysendyck, vice president and head of government affairs and environment at ArcelorMittal, highlighted the long-term challenge of higher costs associated with low-carbon steel.
She emphasised the need for uniform carbon pricing, such as through CBAM, but also stressed that incentivising both the production and consumption of low-carbon steel is crucial. Building up scale and addressing energy costs will take time and societies may need to bear higher costs in the short term to drive progress, according to Van Ysendyck.
She also underscored the importance of ensuring that measures are implemented globally and that both production and consumption incentives are effectively supported.
Marc Delobelle, head of fossil-free materials purchasing at Volvo Group, meanwhile, acknowledged there is a premium for green steel but stressed the importance of scaling production to reduce costs in the long term.
Elina Virchenko UAE
CBAM to change dynamics of global steel trade: Kardemir CEO
Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the EU’s Green Deal are expected to change the dynamics of the global trade in the coming years, as producers’ which will not invest in reducing their carbon emissions will lose their competitiveness due to the new carbon tax burden, Ismail Demir, chairman of Turkey’s largest integrated long steel producer Kardemir said.
“Turkey, which is making half of its exports to the European Union, could not remain out of these regulations,” Demir said in a statement that he made at the company’s 29th Ordinary General Meeting May 30.
Following the announcement of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) by the European Union, Turkey unveiled its ‘Green Deal Action Plan’ in July 2021 as a road map to realize the transformation of Turkey to a more source-efficient and a green economy.
Highlighting that CBAM will directly affect steel, aluminum, cement and fertilizer sectors, Demir said they have focused on low-carbon steel production in recent years.
“In this regard, our studies are ongoing to build our new planned blast furnace with a technology that fits our green steel target,” he said, adding that the new blast furnace will raise Kardemir’s crude steel capacity by 1 million mt/year to 3.5 million mt/year.
Kardemir is aiming to reduce carbon emissions by 15% until 2030 and to become carbon neutral by 2053, the company said, without citing the current carbon emission level of Kardemir.
Kardemir currently has a 2.5 million mt/year liquid steel capacity and produces billet, rebar, wire rod, sections and angles. It has expanded its product range over the last few years to include rails, railway wheels, thick wire rods, and heavy sections.
Turkish mills’ rebar export prices inched lower on May 30, amid lower mill offer prices and lower-priced deals in a slow market.
Platts assessed Turkish exported rebar at $572.50/mt FOB May 30, down $2.50/mt on day, according to S&P Global Commodity Insights data.
Cenk Can
EC implements 15pc cap on HRC other countries quota
The European Commission is implementing a 15pc cap on any individual country selling hot-rolled coil into the quarterly other countries quota of its steel safeguard.
This effectively caps any country selling into the other countries at 141,849t/quarter for the rest of this year: the other countries quota for July-September and October-December will be 945,664t.
If no grace period is granted, sources suggest this could lead to significant duties being incurred on 1 July, as many countries will have more than 15pc of the other countries volume in transit to the EU.
The commission decided against any other individual country quotas on HRC, the notification said.
The commission has been carrying out its review of the steel safeguard for months now. Market sources had anticipated Vietnam would get its own quota, while in recent months there have been suggestions Japan actively asked for its own quota.
The liberalisation rate has also been reduced from 4pc to 1pc.
The commission also notified the WTO the safeguard would be extended for two years, meaning there will be a brief six-month overlap between the safeguard and the imposition of the financial component of the carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM).
“The commission also established the surge of imports from certain new origins was related to growing overcapacity in certain regions as well as to the significant pressure exerted by a strong increase in Chinese exports to certain markets,” it said in the notification. China has been exporting record volumes of HRC this year, with significant tonnage going into nearby markets, such as Vietnam.
The changes to the safeguard are subject to approval by member states, and the commission will hold consultations from 29 May until June 10 on the proposal.
