Day: 3 February 2022

APPLiA, the European association grouping home appliance producers, has voiced concerns over the proposed Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and its potential effects on production delocalisation, Kallanish notes.

Paolo Falcioni, APPLiA director general, says that if CBAM is introduced the way it is proposed now, it will lift raw materials costs and impact the competitiveness of the European downstream manufacturing industry.

“Let’s take the case of a washing machine manufactured in Europe. Its production requires on average 25kg of steel, 4kg cement (as part of concrete) and 3kg aluminium. All materials that will be subject to the CBAM proposal. Under the current ETS system in place, the CO2 price for these materials amounts to €90/tonne of CO2,” Falcioni explains. “EU-based home appliance manufacturers will face an increase in the cost of raw materials for the production of one washing machine ranging between 5-10%.”

As a consequence, “the EU’s proposed CBAM seems not to bring any added value in addressing the issue”, he adds. On the contrary, “products that are manufactured abroad and imported into the EU will be more competitive than EU-made ones on the home market of many European companies.”

According to Eurofer calculations, domestic appliances account for some 3% of the total European consumption of steel.

“There is no quick or easy solution here. CBAM alone, even extensively revised, cannot fix the problems it creates. The European Commission should present a legislative proposal two years ahead of the removal of free allowances in ETS, foreseen as from 2026,” Falcioni observes. “This would secure the funding pillars of the EU including the competitiveness of all European industries, EU jobs, global sustainability leadership and resilience among others, while also satisfying WTO trade requirements.”

Emanuele Norsa Italy

Electric vehicles made up 18% of overall new car registrations in the European Union in 2021, up from a 10.5% share in 2020, according to new data released Feb. 2 by the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association.

The total of 1.7 million units was also up 66.8% from 2020.

Sales of new battery EVs rose 63.1% on the year to 878,432 units in 2021, a 9.1% share, which compared with a 5.4% share in 2020, the data showed.

Plug-in hybrid EV sales also rose 70.7% from 2020 to 867,092 units, which was an 8.9% share, up from 5.1% the previous year.

The EU country with the largest volume of EV sales was Germany, which more than tripled BEV sales year on year to 356,425 units sold, while PHEV sales rose 62.3% to 325,449 units.

Meanwhile, hybrid EVs at 1.9 million units accounted for 19.6% of all new passenger cars registered in in 2021, up from 11.9% in 2020. The total of HEVs was up 60.5% year on year.

In mid-January, the ACEA reported that passenger vehicle registrations in the EU had fallen 2.4% in 2021 to 9.7 million units.

The overall contraction of the EU car market affected both diesel- and petrol-powered vehicles negatively, the ACEA said in a Feb. 2 statement.

However, the data showed that petrol and diesel vehicles continued to dominate new passenger vehicle sales in 2021, accounting for 59.6% of all new registrations, although this was down from 75.5% in 2020.

Sales of petrol vehicles in 2021 totaled 3.9 million units, down 17.8% year on year and making up 40% of total sales, down from a 47.5% share the previous year.

Diesel passenger vehicle sales also dropped 31.5% year on year to 1.9 million units, with the market share falling from 27.9% in 2020 to 19.6%.

— Jacqueline Holman

The Arvedi group is eyeing Piombino-based steelmaker JSW Italia after Arvedi’s recent acquisition of Terni AST, multiple sources confirmed to S&P Global Platts on Feb. 2.

Arvedi became the largest Italian flat steel producer after the Terni acquisition with a total of 5.5-6.0 million mt of steel produced annually, as Acciaierie d’Italia, the former Ilva, with installed capacity to make 8-9 million mt/year of crude steel, now produces around 4.5 million mt/year.

Industry sources confirmed to Platts that there is real interest in the acquisition, although it is still very much in a preliminary phase. The JSW Italia plant is attractive to Arvedi as it needs an additional 1.5-2.0 million mt/year of coils via a new electric arc furnace (EAF) to feed the cold-rolling units it is building at the Trieste site of Servola.

Arvedi currently runs a pickling line at Trieste with a capacity of 600-800,000 mt/year, an 800,000 mt/year CR line and a slitting line with a capacity of up to 200,000 mt of coils, sources close to the mill told Platts. The working lines are not running at their full capacity and are fed by coils made by Arvedi’s main mill in Cremona.

The JSW Italia site also has a lot of land and is close to the large port of Piombino. In the past, there have been talks of mills wanting to create a consortium to build a direct reduced iron (DRI) facility in Piombino and sources told Platts that Arvedi could be interested in leading such a joint venture, allowing it to source some of the output for what could be its new EAF in Piombino.

Mill working at around 40% of design capacity

JSW Italia is currently owned by Indian Group JSW, which bought the Italian mill, previously named Aferpi, in 2019 from Algeria’s Cevit.

According to sources, JSW bought it for around Eur70 million ($79 million) and it has invested Eur70 million since without finishing the industrial plan set out when it made the purchase.

Under the plan JSW intended to install two new EAFs with a combined capacity of 3 million mt/year to produce semis for long and flat steel production.

The EAFs were never built, with JSW feeding the rolling lines with blooms and billets from its mills in India.

The mill has a design capacity to produce 600,000 mt/year of wire rod, 300,000 mt/year of rebar and a rail unit with a total design capacity of 350,000 mt/year. According to sources close to the mill, it was working at only around 40% of its design capacity.

Platts contacted JSW, but received no reply by the time of publication.

The unions and the Italian government are likely to support any acquisition because the JSW Italia mill temporarily laid off most of its 1,400 workers, which according to the unions cost the Italian government around Eur23 million/year.

As a result, Italy’s national agency for investment and economic development, Invitalia, has been called to study the dossier of JSW Italia to eventually take a stake in the long steel producer, as already reported by Platts.

New galvanizing line and coating line

Arvedi also needs additional coils as it is building a 250,000 mt/year hot-dip galvanizing line and a 200,000 mt/year coating line, which are both expected to be commissioned by the end of 2022. In 2023 a second galvanizing line is expected to be built with a capacity of 300,000 mt/year, a source closed to the mill told Platts.

In Cremona, Arvedi has two EAFs that feed 75% of the finishing operations there. The No. 1 furnace has 1.4 million mt/year of crude steel production capacity and the No. 2 furnace was upgraded and expanded in 2021 to 2.6 million mt/year.

Although the company has worked to increase its production and just bought AST Terni to add 1.5 million mt/year of production capacity it still needs another 1.5-2.0 million mt/year of hot-rolled coil production by 2023-2024 due to the cold mill investments.

Arvedi uses around 2.4 million mt/year of scrap, mostly sourced from Italy and the rest of Europe, along with 600,000-700,000 mt/year of pig iron and 400,000-500,000 mt/year of hot-briquetted iron (HBI). Italy is a major scrap-based steel producer, accounting for 17-19 million mt of scrap demand. It imports around 4-5 million mt/year of scrap, about 1 million mt/year of pig iron and around 700,000 mt/year of HBI, according to Platts’ archive.

There are expectations that scrap demand – as well as HBI and pig iron demand – will increase in Europe where mills that are trying to cut emissions will migrate to the EAF route.

Arvedi and JSW worked together in the past as the two companies teamed up to buy the former Ilva, now Acciaierie d’Italia, in 2018 when ArcelorMittal in the end managed to purchase it.

Platts reached an Arvedi spokesperson for comment, but the company declined.

— Annalisa Villa

ArcelorMittal has announced the publication of sell-side analysts’ Ebitda consensus figures for the company for the fourth quarter of 2021. The average estimate for Q4 is $4.95 billion and for full-year 2021 is $19.36 billion.

This compares with the analysts’ estimated Ebitda for Q4 2020 of $1.47 billion and actual Ebitda of $1.7 billion, as well as confirmed full-year 2020 Ebitda of $4.3 billion, Kallanish notes.

The consensus figures are based on analysts’ estimates recorded on an external web-based tool, and is managed by Vuma Financial Services Limited, the steelmaker says. To arrive at the consensus figures below, Vuma Consensus has aggregated the expectations of sell-side analysts who, to the best of the company’s knowledge, cover ArcelorMittal on a continuous basis. This is currently a group of 15-20 brokers.

The listed analysts follow ArcelorMittal on their own initiative and ArcelorMittal is not responsible for their views. ArcelorMittal is neither involved in the collection of the information nor in the compilation of the estimates, the steelmaker confirms.

Adam Smith Germany

Spanish steelmaker Celsa is investing in technology at its French mill in Boucau, near Bayonne. The Celsa France subsidiary placed an order with equipment maker Tenova for the supply of one iEAF technology platform using the NextGen System for the company’s 150-tonne scrap AC top charge furnace.

Tenova will supply NextGen hardware for upstream off-gas measurement that is expected to bring added value to the plant. This “is the first critical step that enables all software solutions, including Mass & Energy balance that is needed for achieving Net Energy and Melting-percent Control with iEAF technology,” Tenova says. “Also included is optical temperature and velocity measurement, HMI for process data, and optimisation support.”

The equipment will become operational in the spring, Kallanish notes.

Celsa France is an electric arc furnace-based plant that produces billet to be re-rolled mostly into finished construction steel products.

In December, the steelmaker started a new bar rolling mill at Boucau. The new mill, into which Celsa invested €65 million ($73m), will diversify its business and produce up to 550,000 tonnes/year of long steel (see Kallanish 30 December 2021).

Natalia Capra France

ArcelorMittal Warszawa produced 200,000 tonnes of special and merchant bar quality (SBQ and MBQ) steel at its P20 rolling mill in 2021, a record since its establishment in 2008.

The H6 heat-treatment line also processed a monthly record 1,263t in December.

The Warsaw-based mini-mill previously said strong demand from the automotive industry lifted the share of SBQ bars in overall sales by 13 percentage points on-year in 2021, resulting in a multi-year record profit.

Last summer the firm announced it had posted record SBQ bar shipments in the first quarter, amounting to 46,881t. This was thanks to increased demand but also to the ramping up to full capacity of finishing line C that was commissioned at the end of 2019 (see Kallanish passim). Earlier in the year it said it would start offering 50mm diameter rebar to the market, with a particular focus on supplying this product for the High Speed 2 (HS2) rail construction in the UK.

According to ArcelorMittal group results, ArcelorMittal Warszawa produced 500,000t of crude steel in 2020, down from 600,000t in 2019.

Adam Smith Germany