New safeguard caps could support EU coil prices

Tighter EU steel safeguard measures could help stabilise European domestic prices, especially for cold rolled and hot-dip galvanized coil, sources tell Kallanish.

A spokesman from a European coil mill points to the new “other country” quota caps for CRC and HDG. The quarterly CRC quota of over 330,000 tonnes will now be capped at 13% per origin, while for coated coil the cap is 20% or 25%, depending on whether passivated or oiled. “This will affect imports from major exporters like Vietnam and Thailand,” the spokesman notes.

One trader concurs, saying the new quota system “snipes” the most disruptive trade flows, for hot rolled coil from Japan, galv from Vietnam, and CRC from Turkey.

The mill source says he is sure this will positively influence the price premiums of domestic CRC and HDG. He sees the current premium for HDG at a maximum of €100 ($108) over HRC, and that of CRC at a maximum of €90. Assuming a current HRC price of €640/t ex-works, CRC, in his view, currently reaches a maximum of €730/t, and HDG to €740/t.

One Dutch buyer sees even higher offers, but other sources see most transaction prices at €20/t below those maximum levels.

A German source tells of a recent offer from India for over 550 tonnes of HRC at €545/t cif Bremen, with no extra duties involved.

Christian Koehl Germany

UK Steel calls for TRQ review, changes

Industry association UK Steel has submitted an application for a safeguard tariff rate quota (TRQ) review, claiming a change in circumstances, Kallanish learns.

UK Steel says it is submitting the application on behalf of its members, and there are several factors to justify a TRQ review, which can be requested if there is a change in circumstances.

The first being the reintroduction of US tariffs, including on the UK, which will have direct and indirect impacts on the domestic market, with a significant proportion of trade likely to be diverted to other export markets. This will still be the case even if the UK was able to secure an exemption for its own direct exports to the US. The likelihood of trade diversion is further amplified by the EU amendments to its own safeguards.

Amid the tariffs, there is weak demand in the UK and globally, with domestic demand remaining below pre-pandemic levels. Meanwhile, UK safeguard quotas have been liberalised year after year, first by 5% after their introduction and then by 3% yearly since, UK Steel points out.

“We now have quotas that are 22% larger than what the 2015-2017 import levels would have resulted in and these are due to be liberalised by a further 3% in July 2025,” it notes, adding the current safeguards do not offer adequate protection.

It also adds that certain UK safeguard product categories that have larger residual quotas are additionally exposed to diverted trade. These are categories 4, 7 and 13. These are also categories where the residual quota is dominated by a single importing country crowding out other suppliers.

The association proposes the TRQs should be reduced or at a minimum not be further liberalised in July, with UK Steel saying this is happening by default relative to demand. If liberalisation is necessary, this should be done by a nominal amount, for example 0.1%, like the EU has done, so that safeguards are not undermined. It adds the reversal of the redistribution of Russian and Belarussian quota volumes should also be considered.

Carry-over quotas from each quarter should no longer be available in the next quarter, while individual country caps of 15% should be introduced under residual quotas for categories 4, 7 and 13, it says. This is necessary to prevent the crowding out of other origins.

The application highlights there are no WTO definitions of “developed” and “developing” countries, and therefore these exceptions should be revoked for countries that are not “developing” in a steel context. UK Steel submits that China, India, Turkey, Brazil and Vietnam should not be considered developing countries for the purposes of steel safeguards.

Carrie Bone UK

 

EU expands safeguard quota caps to 16 products

The European Commission has expanded the product range covered by residual tariff-rate quota (TRQ) caps to 16 categories, up from just two previously – hot rolled coil and wire rod, Kallanish notes.

The Commission has reduced the cap on HRC from 15% to 13%, while the wire rod cap remains at 15%.

These limits, which restrict the maximum volume a single country can supply to the EU under the residual TRQ, aim to help existing suppliers maintain historical trade flows, while ensuring supply stability from countries at risk of being crowded out, according to the Commission.

The updated rules will take effect on 1 April.

EU “other country” residual safeguard quotas

Product category  Other country TRQ 1.4-30.6 (tonnes) Cap %  Cap (tonnes) Specific “other country” from 1.7 to 30.6
1A – HRC 856,770 13 111,380 Egypt, Vietnam, Japan, Taiwan, Australia, Switzerland, United States, Libya, Canada
2 – CRC 334,370 13 43,468 Türkiye, Vietnam, Taiwan, Japan
16 – Wire Rod 100,499 15 15,075 Malaysia, Algeria, Egypt, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Korea, Japan, Indonesia, Serbia
17 – Angles, shapes, sections 67,480 15 10,122 Türkiye, United Kingdom
4B – Metallic coated 104,779 20 20,956 Türkiye, Vietnam, Japan
(also China, Korea, India, United Kingdom if they exhaust their specific quota)
6  – Tin mill products 37,107 20 7,421 India, Türkiye
7 – Quarto plates 550,190 20 110,038 India, Indonesia, Korea
13 – Rebars 137,841 20 27,568 Algeria, Egypt
4A – Metallic coated 472,050 25 118,012 Türkiye, Vietnam, Taiwan
 5 – Organic coated 42,861 25 10,715 Vietnam
14 – Stainless bars, light sections 5,150 25 1,287 China, Taiwan
3B – Electrical sheets (other than GOES) 8,628 30 2,588 India, Japan
20 – Gas pipes 11,107 30 3,332 UAE, Korea
21 – Hollow sections 18,533 30 5,560 China, Serbia
25B – Large welded  tubes 6,495 30 1,948 Algeria
26 – Other welded pipes 20,051 30 6,015 India,Serbia, Korea

Elina Virchenko Turkey