EU HRC prices face downward pressure as market sentiment remains cautious

European domestic hot-rolled coil prices remained largely stable May 8, with sources citing a modest erosion of EUR10-20 across various regions.

“Prices have been pretty stable overall, but we expect a small dip in the short term, with HRC ex-Ruhr at EUR630-640 and ex-Italy at EUR620,” a mill source said. “We’re not seeing a lot of action in the market right now, and the outlook remains fairly weak.”

Despite this, there is optimism for the second half of the year, with expectations for a potential improvement as market conditions stabilize. However, concerns about the gap between domestic and import prices, combined with regulatory uncertainty, remain.

“Import activity is quieter, and there’s little insight on where it will go,” the source added, noting that a lack of clarity on the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) was exacerbating market hesitancy. “People are starting to calculate what it really means, but there are still many gaps to be filled by the commission.”

Platts assessed HRC ex-works Italy at EUR620/mt and HRC CIF Southern Europe at EUR530/mt, both stable day over day. Platts assessed HRC in Northwest Europe at EUR640/mt EXW Ruhr, down Eur5 day over day, and HRC CIF Antwerp at Eur540/mt, stable day over day.