Global crude steel production increased by just 0.8% to 146.8 million tonnes in November compared with the same month in 2023, but output fell by 1.4% year on year from January to November, worldsteel said on Monday December 23.
Germany
Crude steel production in Germany was up by 8.6% year on year to 2.9 million tonnes in November, according to worldsteel, with the output of Europe’s largest steel producer also up by 5.3% in the year to November compared to the same period in 2023 (see chart below).
Sources said the was probably mostly due to the decline in October and November 2023, when production cuts were introduced to balance supply and demand in the European steel market.
The increase could also be partially driven by the increase in the production of semi-finished steel products for export as a substitute for sanctioned Russian material.
The European Union’s 27 member states also reported a combined increase in crude steel production in November compared with the same month in 2023, with output up by 3.9% to 10.7 million tonnes. The year-on-year rise from January to November was 2.2%, with output reaching 119.9 million tonnes.
But despite the increased output, sources said that demand for finished flat and long steel products remained sluggish across Europe, with oversupply frequently cited as one of the main reasons hindering a stronger price rebound.
India
India was the second top-10 steel-producing country to record a significant increase in crude steel production in November, with output up by 4.5% to 12.4 million tonnes compared with the same month in 2023.
Output for the year to November was also up, increasing by 5.9% compared to the same period in 2023.
And larger steel mills in India recently tried to increase domestic finished steel prices.
A slight price rebound was achieved on expectations that the Indian government might impose provisional duties on steel imports before the completion of a safeguard investigation announced on December 19.
Earlier in December, India’s Ministry of Steel proposed a 25% safeguard duty on imports of all major flat steel from other Asian countries, such as Japan, South Korea, and Vietnam.
But the higher prices for HRC struggled to gain tractions, with demand for steel failing to match the increase in supplies following the capacity additions by all major steel mills in India since March, Fastmarkets understands.
China
In China, crude steel production moved up 2.5% year on year in November to reach 78.4 million tonnes, but output was down by 2.7% from January to November compared with the same period in 2023 and slow domestic consumption in the world’s largest steel-producing country remained a major concern.
To compensate for the sluggish domestic consumption, China has focused on exports in recent months, sources told Fastmarkets, and despite exports falling month on month in November, compared with the same month in 2023, volumes shipped out of the country increased, according to preliminary data ffrom the General Administration of Customs.
Steel exports amounted to 9.28 million tonnes in November, which was down by 17% from 11.18 million tonnes in October, but up by 16% from 8.01 million tonnes in November 2023.
But competitive Chinese steel prices in overseas markets resulted in an increase in trade protectionism around the world.
Russia
Estimated crude steel production in Russia fell by 9.2% year on year in November, to 5.5 million tonnes, worldsteel said, with output also down by 7% in the year to November, compared to the same period of 2023.
Key steel consuming industries in Russia were unable to generate sufficient demand to maintain high production rates in the country.
Russian iron and steel export volumes fell to 15.5 million tonnes in January-October 2024, according to data from Global Trade Tracker – 23,9% lower than the same period in 2023, due to international sanctions imposed following Russia’s attempted invasion of Ukraine.
In addition to countries and companies rejecting Russian steel exports, the prices achievable in the few countries still willing to do business with Russia have continued to fall.
