HRC prices broadly flat in Europe; slow demand, competitive imports weigh on sentiment

European hot-rolled coil producers are struggling to maintain prices in the face of lackluster demand and competitive imports, sources told Fastmarkets on Wednesday June 11.

In Northern Europe, HRC with July lead times was heard offered at €620-630 ($709-743) per tonne ex-works or delivered from integrated mills.

But sources pointed out that mills had a certain degree of flexibility.

“[One German mill] offers [HRC] at €620 per tonne delivered but can step down some €10-15 [per tonne] to close a deal,” a buyer source in Germany said.

Another German supplier was heard to be maintaining offers at no lower than €620 per tonne delivered, citing reduced availability related to preparations of new equipment commencing in May-June.

Offers from a re-roller in the region were heard at €600 per tonne ex-works.

Buyer’s estimations of workable prices in the region were reported in the range of €590-600 per tonne ex-works.

Fastmarkets’ calculation of the daily steel HRC index, domestic, exw Northern Europe was €600.83 per tonne on Wednesday, stable from Tuesday June 10.

The Northern European index was also down by €11.67 per tonne week on week and by €50.84 per tonne month on month.

Sentiment remained rather bearish, with even mill sources not ruling out domestic prices plunging below €600 per tonne ex-works in the short run.

“We already heard some standalone deals [for HRC] in Northern Europe done at levels below €600 per tonne ex-works. All [domestic HRC] prices tend to go in this direction,” a buyer source said.

“There is no [price] level [for HRC] below €600 per tonne ex-works [in Northern Europe] so far, but prices are heading there,” one supplier in the region said.

Meanwhile, in Italy, Fastmarkets’ daily steel HRC index, domestic, exw Italy was calculated at €582.92 per tonne on Wednesday, down by €2.08 per tonne from €585 per tonne on Tuesday.

The Italian index was down by €10.21 per tonne week on week and by €28.75 per tonne month on month.

Italian coil buyers were still “in the wait-and-see mode,” a source said, expecting prices to dive deeper.

“Nobody wants to book [HRC] until they are sure prices hit rock bottom. There are a lot of speculative bids at €540-550 per tonne ex-works — which is unrealistic so far — but there is definitely more room for [HRC prices to] drop,” a buyer source said.

Offers from domestic suppliers were heard in the range of €590-610 per tonne delivered (€580-600 per tonne ex-works). An integrated supplier was offering at the higher end of the range.

Some re-rollers were still able to offer late-June lead times, while integrated mills offered July delivery.

Buyers estimated tradable prices at €570-590 per tonne ex-works, hinting at further downward potential due to limited demand.

Meanwhile, competitive imports also added some downward pressure on domestic prices.

Indonesian HRC was heard offered at €490-500 per tonne CFR to Italy for August shipment.

Indian material was offered around €535-540 per tonne CFR, while Turkish coil was available at €530-545 per tonne CFR duty paid.

HRC from Algeria was heard offered to Italy at €530-540 per tonne CFR.

Published by: Julia Bolotova

fastmarkets.com