European HRC steel producers still bullish despite subdued real demand

Limited imports and improved apparent demand continued to fuel the recovery in European prices for steel hot-rolled coil, Fastmarkets heard on Monday March 3.

In the Benelux area, transactions for HRC lots of 1,000 tonnes were reported at €630 ($654) per tonne ex-works for April-May delivery.

In Germany, deals were reported at €620-630 per tonne ex-works.

Buyers’ estimates of tradeable values for HRC across Northern Europe were heard at similar levels of €620-630 per tonne ex-works on Monday.

Market sources noted that the uptrend was expected to persist in the coming weeks, despite a lack of real demand.

“Customers are complaining [about HRC price increases] but they are still ordering. New safeguards are coming [from the EU authorities], so very few buyers dare to book imported coil,” a supplier in the region said.

“It is clear that if you don’t book [HRC] today, tomorrow you’ll have to pay more,” a buyer source in Germany said.

As a result, Fastmarkets calculated its daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Northern Europe, at €627.92 per tonne on Monday, up by €1.09 per tonne from €626.83 per tonne on Friday.

The Northern European index was up by €9.17 per tonne week on week and by €36.67 per tonne month on month.

Meanwhile, in Southern Europe, Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Italy, was calculated at €616.25 per tonne on Monday, up by €3.75 per tonne from €612.50 per tonne on Friday.

The index was up by €6.25 per tonne week on week and up by €28.75 per tonne month on month.

In Italy, buyers’ estimates of achievable prices were reported within the range of €600 to €625 per tonne ex-works on March 3. Some sources, however, pointed out that the lower end of that range was no longer achievable.

European suppliers were offering May-delivery HRC to Italy at €660 per tonne delivered.

An Italian mill was hoping for €640-660 per tonne delivered for April-May delivery HRC, trade sources said. Trading activity has improved recently, but was “far from booming,” they added.

“Everyone buys hand-to-mouth. There is too much uncertainty around safeguards, and real demand is still not supportive of huge price rises,” a buyer in Italy said.

“Real demand for steel remains subdued, but apparent demand has picked up due to the situation with [the safeguards review on] imports, and expectations of a continued uptrend,” a second buyer in Italy said. “The market [for HRC] is very speculative now.”

Regarding imports, offers to the European market were still limited.

Asia-origin coil with April-May shipment was offered to Italy at €560-570 per tonne CFR.

Turkish suppliers were offering coil at €590-600 per tonne CFR, including anti-dumping duty/

More clarity on the situation regarding imports was expected by the end of March, when the current review of the European Commission’s steel safeguards was expected to be completed.

Published by: Julia Bolotova