HRC prices stabilize in Europe, direction unclear

Trading in the European steel hot-rolled coil market remained “frozen” on Wednesday August 28, and while prices have stabilized, the outlook is unclear, sources have told Fastmarkets.

Trading in the spot European HRC market was slow on Wednesday, with only sporadic bookings heard.

“Demand [for HRC] is very poor. Because of [continuing] holidays in France and because of the ‘cold’ market,” a buyer in Northern Europe said.

Buyers in Northern Europe estimated tradeable values for October-delivery HRC at €580-590 ($648-659) per tonne ex-works.

Firm offers were still rare, since suppliers preferred conduct business on a “case by case” basis, according to sources.

“Some suppliers still talk about price increases in September. But it doesn’t seem likely – the market is too weak for that,” a second buyer said.

Several sources reported offers for October-delivery HRC from a Benelux-based supplier at €600-620 per tonne ex-works, depending on the tonnage.

Another supplier in the region was said to be offering HRC with the same lead time at €570 per tonne ex-works.

Sources said that they only expected limited restocking in September.

“In fact, destocking is still taking place; in the downstream market, SCCs (steel service centers) are competing for volumes,” a source at a SSC in Germany said.

Sources added that a mill-owned SSC was selling hot-rolled sheet at aggressive prices, with transactions reported at €650 per tonne delivered and even €630 per tonne delivered in Germany.

As a result, Fastmarkets calculated its daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Northern Europe, at €597 per tonne on Wednesday, down by €0.50 per tonne from the previous calculation of €597.50 per tonne on Tuesday.

The Northern Europe index is down by €10.00 per tonne week on week and by €31.67 per tonne month on month.

Fastmarkets’ corresponding daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Italy, was calculated at €595.00 per tonne on Wednesday, unchanged from a day earlier.

The index is down by €5.00 per tonne week on week, and by €25.00 per tonne month on month.

The Italian market was said to be “restarting slowly” after the traditional summer break.

A major local integrated supplier has yet to announce new offers for October-delivery HRC.

But two sources reported that one local mill was testing the market with an offer of €610-620 per tonne CPT (€600-610 per tonne ex-works).

Buyer sources in Italy estimated the current workable price to be around €580-600 per tonne ex-works.

One Europe mill was heard offering HRC to Italy at €590 per tonne delivered.

Import offers from Asia to Europe remained scarce amid safeguards-related risk and pending anti-dumping investigation against several origins, sources said.

Sources reported an offer from India for late October-shipment coil at $620 per tonne CFR.

An offer from South Korea was heard at €590 per tonne CFR – a price deemed unworkable by Italian buyers, since it is in line with what EU mills could offer.

Published by: Julia Bolotova

fastmarkets.com