Flacks Group updates ADI offer after court ruling
US investment firm Flacks Group has updated its bid to acquire Italian steelmaker Acciaierie d’Italia (ADI), formerly known as Ilva, after the Milan Court of Appeal ordered the shutdown of the hot production area, Flacks Group told McCloskey.
On 27 July, the Milan Court of Appeal ordered that ADI shut down operations in the hot section of its Taranto steel plant within the next 90 days. The Milan court originally ordered the suspension of production at the plant on health grounds in late February 2026, but the ruling was conditional on the completion of the required environmental interventions.
Flacks Group developed the updated proposal through the newly established company Flacksider, with the objective of ensuring industrial continuity and building a new low-emission steelmaking facility.
Flacksider’s proposal includes the participation of Flacks Group together with other strategic partners, including equipment supplier Danieli and Ukrainian group Metinvest, according to Flacks Group. The company also believes that state involvement will be crucial to support the industrial transition.
“The Italian government acknowledged that the current sale process can no longer continue under its original terms,” a Flacks Group source said. “For this reason, the government announced that a new tender process will be launched, as the previous one covered both the hot-end and cold-end operations and has effectively been overtaken by the court’s ruling.”
The Italian authorities have not announced the schedule for the new tender yet. The next meeting to analyse the updated proposals will be held by the Ministry of Enterprises and Made in Italy (MIMIT) on 5 August.
Another potential buyer is India’s Jindal Steel, which expressed interest in acquiring ADI in March, returning to the race for the mill after withdrawing in 2025.
Before the recent court order, potential buyers had presented decarbonisation plans to replace the existing blast furnaces (BFs) with a direct-reduced iron (DRI)-electric arc furnace (EAF) production route to reduce emissions. In addition, market participants suggested that Jindal Steel would also ship low-CO2 steel slab from its new plant in Oman to re-roll at ADI.
To learn more about decarbonization projects in Italy, Oman and globally – see McCloskey’s Global Green Steel Profile.
Flacks Group criticized Jindal Steel, claiming that “the future of Taranto should be based on new low-emission steelmaking facilities located in Italy, capable of ensuring industrial production, employment and Europe’s strategic autonomy.”
Author: Maria Tanatar
Proposed ‘CBAM factor’ relaxation maintains import risk
The European Commission proposed a reform of the EU’s Emissions Trading System (ETS) in mid-July to better align climate and industrial realities, but while suggested changes to the ‘CBAM factor’ would eventually grant discounted liabilities under the instrument, upfront costs remain prohibitive for many steel trade routes.
Proposed changes to the ‘CBAM factor’ – the EU’s ratcheting replacement to free allocation, to address carbon leakage concerns – would reintroduce 15% of phased-out emissions allowances (EUAs) as a buffer, extending the curve of free allocation reductions out to 2038.
Proposed ETS free allocation phase-out rate (CBAM factor)
| Year | Proposed % (July) | Existing % | Increase % | Conditional on decarbonisation investment? |
| 2026 | 97.5 | 97.5 | 0 | No |
| 2027 | 95 | 95 | 0 | No |
| 2028 | 91.5 | 90 | 1.5 | No |
| 2029 | 81 | 77.5 | 3.5 | No |
| 2030 | 59 | 51.5 | 7.5 | No |
| 2031 | 48 | 39 | 9 | Yes |
| 2032 | 37.5 | 26.5 | 11 | Yes |
| 2033 | 27 | 14 | 13 | Yes |
| 2034 | 15 | 0 | 15 | Yes |
| 2035 | 15 | 0 | 15 | Yes |
| 2036 | 15 | 0 | 15 | Yes |
| 2037 | 15 | 0 | 15 | Yes |
| 2038 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Yes |
Source: European Commission July ETS review proposal
Other elements of the Commission’s proposals would adjust ETS mechanisms like the Linear Reduction Factor and Market Stability Reserve, intending to prevent carbon price inflation (and volatility) beyond what domestic industry can handle as it pursues decarbonisation of its processes without overly undermining global competitiveness.
Despite these changes, CAMIRO’s short and long-term forecasts still see EUA prices gradually escalating to break the EUR200 barrier post-2033, with higher prices expected 2026-2027 in line with post-review increases above EUR80.
Beyond EUA price effects, as McCloskey detailed in the lead-up to the July ETS review, CBAM already threatens sky-high costs when using ‘default’ emissions values, especially from recently disruptive origins like Indonesia. Trading sources also fear that the EU’s new and intensified tariff-rate quota regime for steel imports could lessen exporter willingness to properly invest in emissions monitoring, reporting, and verification (MRV) processes necessary to report ‘actual’ emissions values in CBAM declarations as a result of their reduced market access, further compounding cost risks.
This week, the International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) released its “State of Border Carbon Adjustments 2026” report, finding that businesses are already being confronted with less evident compliance costs from necessary investments in IT infrastructure, supply chain data collection, and the demands of verification – particularly burdensome on upstream small- and medium-sized enterprises.
IISD also track the development of Border Carbon Adjustments (BCAs) worldwide as jurisdictions seek to reclaim climate revenues within their own borders (via CBAM deductions for ‘carbon prices already paid’), which could then compound these compliance costs significantly as different BCA methodologies and implementations hit globalised supply chains from different angles without supportive interoperability.
The European Commission’s proposed adjustment to free allocation via the CBAM factor is suggested to return phased-out EUAs to ETS supply from 2028, with the inaugural years of the definitive stage remaining unchanged in terms of effective emissions liabilities. That is around the same time as the proposed extension of the EU CBAM to downstream products, which also contains new anti-circumvention provisions seeking to ensure the accuracy and integrity of reporting for emissions embedded in imported goods. The regulation is working its way through the initial stages of the EU’s tripartite legislative process, with variations of the product scope and anti-circumvention provisions suggested by the Commission, and Parliamentary committees.
Generally, these anti-circumvention provisions would target origins engaging in “abusive practices,” specifically emphasising “resource shuffling,” in which exporters designate portions of their production – via specific installations – for export to the EU, purely to minimise CBAM liabilities without engaging in full-scale emissions reductions.
The latest parliamentary amendments propose to apply “country-level default values […] systematically and ex ante to combinations of countries and goods defined as being at high risk of abusive practices,” introducing yet another cost risk for importers beyond their direct control. In identifying groups of origins or goods at risk of circumvention, it is suggested that the Commission considers a wide range of flexible factors, including the mere fact of capacity to circumvent; dubious reporting trends; the decarbonisation reality of relevant installations; and perhaps most controversially, “the existence of EU anti-dumping or anti-subsidy measures in force against the country in the relevant sector.”
As detailed by McCloskey’s Steel Trade Protection Measures Database, the EU currently has over 70 different trade defense instruments (TDIs) in force, or under review across a range of steel and steel-containing goods against different trading partners: China; Egypt; India; Indonesia; Iran; Japan; Malaysia; Russia; South Korea; Taiwan, China; Thailand; Turkey; the US; and Vietnam. The European Commission also committed to taking a more proactive approach to trade defense in last year’s Steel and Metals Action Plan (SMAP), lessening its legal test for investigation to the threat, rather than realisation, of injury to its domestic industries.
These TDIs apply cumulatively with the EU’s new steel TRQs, which have themselves been challenged as noncompliant with World Trade Organisation rules (as has CBAM, as tracked by the IISD report), layering potentially self-reinforcing cost risks for steel importers throughout the EU’s trade – and now climate – framework.
Gerold Lorenz, Managing Director of trading house INTERFER Group, asks on social media whether CBAM is thus increasingly becoming a “trade protection measure,” stating that “trade policy criteria such as existing trade-defence measures have no place in a climate instrument.”
“If verified emissions data can be set aside because of broader country-level trade-policy considerations, CBAM risks moving beyond carbon accounting and becoming a de facto trade protection instrument,” Lorenz writes.
Overall, the Commission’s July policy package, and suggested ETS reform appears to do little to mitigate CBAM costs for importers, despite its headline amendments to the “CBAM factor.” Initial costs under CBAM are still prohibitive in many cases, and the real cost drivers – the risk of having to use default emissions values – remain unchanged, or could even be intensified should anti-circumvention elements mandate their use for specific product groups or origins, or if the EU’s increasingly burdensome trade protection framework disincentivises exporters from sufficiently engaging with Monitoring, Reporting and Verification (MRV) preparations.
Author: Benjamin Steven
European Commission launches consultation to extend product scope of Steel Regulation
The European Commission has launched a targeted consultation to seek feedback from industry stakeholders on the product scope of its new Steel Regulation which came into force from July 1, it said in a statement July 30.
The consultation follows Article 12.1 of the framework regulation of June 17, which requires the Commission to assess the necessity of expanding the product coverage to the following categories:
- Tubes, pipes and hollow profiles, of cast iron
- Non-alloy and other alloy wire
- Stainless wire
- Non-alloy and other alloy forged bars
The Steel Regulation, which has cut overall tariff quota volumes by 47%, increased the out-of-quota duty rate to 50%, and introduced a melt-and-pour origin rule, is currently only applicable to 30 product categories. As a result, market participants have noted that this could lead to goods further down the value chain being imported into the EU quota-free, undermining the purpose of the regulation.
The consultation will run for eight weeks from July 28 to Sept. 28, with the Commission set to analyze submissions and finalize its product‑scope assessment by Dec. 31.
Domestic steel prices in Europe have increased since the new regulation came into operation, particularly after the country-specific quotas were published on June 30, as import availability has tightened significantly.
Platts, part of S&P Global Energy, last assessed domestic hot-rolled coil in Northern Europe July 29 at Eur715/mt ex-works Ruhr, up Eur35 since July 1. In Southern Europe, domestic HRC was last assessed at Eur705/mt ex-works Italy, also up Eur35 across the same period.
Price expectations are also bullish in the European steel market for Q4, when the true impact of the measures should be seen as participants are now able to adjust their trading strategies with at least some regulatory clarity.
Author: Riley Waters

UNESID: Incorrect product classification may create an approximately EUR 300/mt difference in CBAM liability
European Commission launches consultation on the product scope of the EU steel regulation
Romanian longs market slows further amid the summer lull as Turkish rebar import deal rumours emerge
Romania’s longs market has entered an even quieter phase this week, with demand remaining limited and prices broadly stable. As the summer holiday period gathers pace across Europe, an increasing number of companies have become inactive, further reducing the already weak trading activity. Under these conditions, local traders and the country’s sole rebar producer have maintained their prices, while discounts remain available for serious buyers. Despite the generally slow domestic and import activity, an unconfirmed rumour has surfaced this week regarding a recent Turkish rebar sale to the Balkan region, with Romania or Bulgaria reported as possible destinations.
According to market sources, around 5,000-12,000 mt of Turkish rebar may have been sold recently to the Balkan region, possibly to Romania or Bulgaria, at approximately $565-570/mt FOB. However, neither the transaction nor its final destination has been confirmed so far.
On the import side, Turkish rebar offers are currently heard at around €520-540/mt CFR Romania, compared to €520-530/mt CFR Romania last week. Egyptian rebar offers have decreased to approximately €530-540/mt CFR Romania, compared to €530-545/mt CFR Romania last week, while Egyptian wire rod offers are currently heard at around €540-555/mt CFR Romania, versus €535-555/mt CFR Romania in the previous week. Bulgarian rebar offers have remained unchanged at approximately €660-670/mt CPT Romania. Hungarian rebar offers have also remained stable at around €650/mt delivered, while Hungarian rebar in-coil prices are still heard at approximately €670/mt delivered.
In the domestic market, rebar spot quotations have remained unchanged at around €630-640/mt ex-warehouse. Beltrame Group’s official rebar offers are still heard at approximately €635-640/mt ex-works, while discounted levels of around €620-630/mt ex-works remain available depending on the buyer and transaction volume. Domestic wire rod prices have also remained stable at around €670-690/mt ex-warehouse, with purchasing activity continuing at very low levels.
Author: SteelOrbis Editorial Team

Bulgarian longs market carries existing demand weakness into August
The Bulgarian longs market is entering August with activity already at a low level, as purchasing decisions are being postponed, company operations are slowing, and discussions are largely limited to immediate requirements. The holiday period is expected to reduce activity further over the coming weeks, with most participants seeing little prospect of a noticeable improvement before late August. However, the current situation is not solely linked to seasonal absences, as consumption had already been weak, and limited liquidity continued to restrict buyers’ ability to place regular orders. As a result, uncertainty remains over the extent of any recovery once the holiday period ends.
Local quotations have remained unchanged this week. Rebar is still available at around €630-640/mt CPT, while wire rod prices stand at approximately €670-680/mt CPT.
Import activity has also remained limited, although reports of a possible Turkish rebar booking into the Balkan region have generated discussion among Bulgarian market participants. No local buyer has been identified, and views remain divided over whether Bulgaria was involved. Some sources believe that the absence of recent import activity makes a Bulgarian destination unlikely, while others consider that part of the reported 5,000-12,000 mt cargo may have been allocated to the country. The deal is understood to have been discussed at around $565-570/mt FOB, but neither the buyer nor the final destination has been confirmed.
Currently, Turkish rebar offers are heard at around $565-580/mt FOB, compared to $565-575/mt FOB last week. With freight to Bulgaria estimated at approximately €20-25/mt, the corresponding delivered levels stand at around €515-535/mt CFR, versus €515-525/mt CFR in the previous week. Meanwhile, Egyptian rebar offers are reported at around $570-575/mt FOB, while wire rod quotations are at approximately $580-590/mt FOB. Freight from Egypt is estimated at €25-30/mt, bringing rebar offers to around €525-535/mt CFR, compared to €525-540/mt CFR last week, and wire rod prices to €535-550/mt CFR, versus €530-550/mt CFR previously. According to market sources, Italian rebar offers have also been heard at around €620-630/mt CFR Bulgaria.
European long steel prices hold firm on seasonal restocking ahead of summer shutdowns
European domestic long steel prices remained stable in the week to Wednesday July 29, with market participants reporting increased buying activity ahead of August closures, when many producers are expected to halt production for two to three weeks. At the same time, mills continued to target higher prices, supported by restocking activity described by one market participant as “hamster buying.”
“These days demand is good; customers, as usual, remember at the last moment that producers are closing for two-three weeks, so they are restocking,” a trader source told Fastmarkets.
In Italy, tradable levels were reported at €690-750 ($787-855) per tonne ex-works, although no transactions were reported at the upper end of the range.
Deals were heard at €690-730 per tonne ex-works, with offers and indications also reported within that range. Higher indicative offers of €750 per tonne ex-works were reported as well, but no deals were heard at that level, although mills continued to target higher prices ahead of the summer closure.
Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for steel reinforcing bar (rebar), domestic, exw Italy, remained stable at €690-730 per tonne on Wednesday July 29, unchanged from the previous week.
Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for steel reinforcing bar (rebar), domestic, delivered Spain, remained unchanged at €750 per tonne.
Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for steel reinforcing bar (rebar), domestic, delivered Northern Europe, remained unchanged at €710-730 per tonne on July 29.
Wire rod prices mirrored the broader stability seen across the European long steel market during the assessment week.
In Southern Europe, tradable levels for mesh-quality wire rod were reported at €660-680 per tonne delivered.
Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for steel wire rod (mesh quality), domestic, delivered Southern Europe, remained at €660-680 per tonne on July 29.
In Northern Europe, tradable levels for mesh-quality wire rod were reported at €705-715 per tonne delivered.
Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for steel wire rod (mesh quality), domestic, delivered Northern Europe, remained unchanged at €705-715 per tonne on July 29.
Local steel heavy plate prices decline in Italy on latest deals; most September production sold out
Prices in the domestic steel heavy plate market in Italy declined over the week to Thursday July 30, while prices in Northern Europe remained broadly stable on limited activity, market sources told Fastmarkets on Thursday.
Italy
Plenty of base-grade plate orders related to restocking were confirmed at €690-700 ($787-798) per tonne ex-works in Italy, while offers were reported at €710-720 per tonne ex-works, also for S235 plate.
This decreased from previous indications in the market heard at €700-750 per tonne ex-works on July 23.
Sources linked higher offer levels at €740-750 per tonne ex-works to S355-grade plate, but this grade is not part of Fastmarkets’ methodology. They also said September production was mostly sold out, and that mills could try to push prices up after the summer ends.
“We are most probably at the bottom, as most part of September production is sold out and after holidays producers will try to lift prices up a bit in line with coils and based on quota reduction,” a producer told Fastmarkets.
As a result, Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for steel domestic plate 8-40mm, exw Southern Europe was €690-710 per tonne on Thursday, down from €700-730 per tonne a week earlier.
Northern Europe
In Northern Europe, spot market offers for German plate were reported at €820-850 per tonne ex-works by a trade source, on the same level as latest levels heard on July 23.
The same source said that integrated mills had very good order books and lots of projects, so “everybody is quite optimistic”, expecting higher profit in the second half of the year, which was not necessarily linked to higher output.
On July 23, market participants said that German mills had limited volumes available for the spot market and the earliest lead time for commodity offers was the end of October.
No other price points were received for steel domestic plate 8-40mm in Northern Europe, so Fastmarkets kept its weekly price assessment unchanged at €820-850 per tonne on July 30.
European HRC producers maintain healthy order books despite summer lull; prices mixed
Market participants reported healthy order books at European hot-rolled coil producers for August and September production, despite the summer slowdown and high customer stocks, sources told Fastmarkets on Thursday July 30.
HRC prices across Europe maintained their overall uptrend for July on Thursday, despite prices in Italy dipping for a second day.
“Mills have very limited capacity left,” one German buyer said. “Most have totally sold August and half of September, giving offers depending on their order book.”
A second German buyer told Fastmarkets there were “only limited quantities left for October [delivery].”
Offers in Northern Europe came in at €715-740 ($815-844) per tonne ex-works in late July versus estimates of a tradable level at around €710-725 per tonne ex-works.
There were some bids heard at around €700-710 per tonne ex-works, but Fastmarkets understands mills were reluctant to accept the lower end of the range, given the limited availability of the material.
Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index domestic, exw Northern Europe was calculated at €711.25 per tonne on July 30 up by €3.25 per tonne from €708.00 on July 29.
The index was up by €1.03 per tonne week on week and up by €28.12 per tonne month on month.
In Italy, offers came in at €715-725 per tonne ex-works, with indications of the tradable level at €700-710 per tonne ex-works.
Fastmarkets daily steel hot-rolled coil index domestic, exw Italy was €706.25 per tonne on July 30, down by €1.25 per tonne from €707.50 per tonne on July 29.
And while the Italian index was down by €0.63 per tonne week on week, it was still up by €38.75 per tonne month on month.
In terms of imports, Egyptian HRC was on offer at $730 (€640) per tonne CFR, including $30 per tonne in costs related to the EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism.
Indian HRC, meanwhile, was available at $645-655 per tonne CFR, which is equivalent to €565-575 per tonne CFR.
And the latest offers of Turkish HRC came in at €590 per tonne CFR including anti-dumping duties.


