Further tightening of UK stocks expected: All Steels
A further tightening of UK steel stocks is expected amid the recently reduced import quota tariffs, Kallanish learns from trading firm All Steels.
In a note, Laurence McDougall, managing director says that while a deal was struck with the EU, the reductions for other countries are particularly severe, with the developing nation status effectively removed for many who now fall under the residual category. This means the overall reduction in quota availability is now far more dramatic.
McDougall points to the early July trade activity. “The residual quota has already been exhausted and imports from both Turkey and the EU are highly likely to max out before the end of July,” he notes.
While adjustments to some quotas have eased short-term price pressure, McDougall expects the effect to be temporary. “We expect further upward pressure very soon,” he adds.
The duties are expected to lift import prices significantly. McDougall says domestic suppliers have been slow to raise prices but expects them to want to restore better profitability with the protectionism creating a competitive advantage of about £350/tonne ($465/t) from 1 August.
All Steels expects the tightening in stock availability will be noticeable from 1 August and the step change in prices will happen simultaneously. “We are technically now moving into a new era, where companies using bulk shipping and having access to bonded warehousing will continually take in supplies early for customs clearance at the start of each new quarterly window,” he states.
McDougall noted that several quotas were fully utilised in the second quarter, before the latest reductions took effect. “In the case of Turkey the quota was exceeded, resulting in duty costs for many importers including ourselves,” he adds. “Arguably many merchant bar imports are necessary as UK supply options don’t exist so quota burn rates will be rapid and the tightening in supply will happen shockingly quick unless buyers are prepared to absorb a 50% tariff.”
It is expected that the quota exhaustion will pull forward, resulting in allowances being exhausted on the very first day of a new quarter window, with each importer paying a proportional cost of the over quota duty.
Additionally, McDougall also expects the alloy and non-alloy merchant bars and light sections quotas to be reduced further once Speciality Steel UK becomes fully operational with a return to liquid steelmaking, which the note says remains on course for the first quarter of 2027.
Thyssenkrupp’s Borrego to chair European hydrogen lobby
Miguel Ángel López Borrego, the CEO of German steel manufacturer Thyssenkrupp, was elected on 29 July as chair of the board of Hydrogen Europe.
He “brings extensive experience, strategic vision and a strong commitment”, said Hydrogen Europe CEO Jorgo Chatzimarkakis.
The lobby group advocates for hydrogen as an energy source to boost competitiveness, decarbonisation and security.
Members include aircraft maker Airbus; steel manufacturer ArcelorMittal; car producers BMW, Renault and Hyundai; energy companies BP, Shell, Engie and Eni; and chemical companies Chemours and Solvay.
Borrego’s mandate will last until June 2029.
He takes over from Sebastian Boden, a vice-president at Air Liquide.
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Local HRC prices in Italy, Northern Europe decline amid quiet market, limited trading
Prices for domestic steel hot-rolled coil edged lower in both Italy and Northern Europe on Wednesday July 29 on slow market activity, industry sources told Fastmarkets on Wednesday.
In Italy, sources said market was very thin and reported offers at €730-740 ($830-842) per tonne delivered (€715-725 per tonne ex-works), but the upper end of the range was discarded due to limited trading activity seen at this level.
One producer indicated workable prices for simple specifications of HRC at €700 per tonne ex-works and said levels at €710-720 per tonne ex-works were linked to higher specifications and special grades.
The same source reported offers for October production at €720-730 per tonne ex-works.
“Today’s workable levels start at €700 base [per tonne] ex-works as the absolute minimum level possible for higher tonnage, simple specs, and €710-720 [per tonne ex-works] seems increasingly feasible if the spec is rich with low or high thick material, special grades,” the producer said on July 29.
Meanwhile, a buyer reported an indication at €740 per tonne delivered (€725 per tonne ex-works), but it was discarded due to the same lack of trading activity near this level.
The corresponding Fastmarkets daily steel hot-rolled coil index domestic, exw Italy was €707.50 per tonne on July 29, down by €2.19 per tonne from €709.69 per tonne on July 28.
The index was up by €5 per tonne week on week and by €41.25 per tonne month on month.
In Northern Europe, the market was moving slowly, with no fresh transactions heard during the day.
A buyer reported an indication of workable prices at €700-710 per tonne ex-works, but no other price points were received on July 29, as some market participants were away.
For this reason, prices collected on July 28 were carried over to Wednesday’s index.
On Tuesday, two buyers provided indications at €710 per tonne ex-works, while a third buyer said offers were at €700-730 per tonne ex-works and indicated market levels at €700 per tonne ex-works on the same day.
Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index domestic, exw Northern Europe was calculated at €708.00 per tonne on July 29, down by €0.75 per tonne from €708.75 per tonne on July 28.
The index was down by €3.14 per tonne week on week, but up by €26.75 per tonne month on month.
Import activity picks up in European HRC market despite summer holidays
The European import hot-rolled coil market has had a rise in trading activity at the end of July, particularly in its Southern region, even though many market participants have already left the market for summer holidays.
As the initial shock after the announcement of the new import quotas calmed down and buyers got an understanding of their uptake, the activity picked up with a number of sales heard in the past several weeks.
A cargo of Turkish HRC was heard booked last week at €565-570 ($645-650) per tonne CFR for Southern Europe including anti-dumping duty.
An Italian source, however, reported offers at €590 per tonne CFR including anti-dumping duty this week.
Indian material was heard available at $645-655 per tonne CFR this week following several cargoes sold at $650-655 per tonne CFR several weeks earlier.
Most recent offers of Egyptian HRC were heard around €600 per tonne CFR, while several weeks prior a cargo was heard sold at €610-615 per tonne CFR.
Despite this slight pickup in demand, sellers are not moving prices significantly, considering relatively weak domestic markets of their own and the European domestic market as well.
Fastmarkets’ weekly assessment for steel hot-rolled coil import, cfr main port Southern Europe was €565-600 per tonne on July 29, down by €5-15 per tonne from €570-615 per tonne on July 22.
The corresponding assessment for steel hot-rolled coil import, cfr main port Northern Europe was €565-600 per tonne on July 29, down from €570-640 per tonne on July 22 due to the lack of trading activity and input in the region.
A similar tendency in activity was reported in DDP-based trade, with business mainly concentrated in the South.
Sources reported an Egyptian supplier providing offers on a DDP basis at €720-730 per tonne in Southern Europe, with some hints on deals heard but not completely confirmed by the time of the story publication.
A cargo of Japanese coil was reported sold to Spain at €740 per tonne DDP.
Another market source estimated the general range of DDP prices to the region at €700-750 per tonne, despite the fact that traditionally the gap between CFR and DDP levels was around €100 per tonne.
Fastmarkets’ weekly assessment for steel hot-rolled coil import, ddp Southern Europe was €700-740 per tonne on July 29, up from €655-715 per tonne on July 22.
The corresponding assessment for steel hot-rolled coil import, ddp Northern Europe was also €700-740 per tonne on July 29, up from €655-710 per tonne on July 22 due to the absence of input.
Austria continues to increase steel production in June
Austria increased its crude steel production in June compared with the previous month, according to worldsteel data.
Output amounted to 663,767 tonnes, up 2.4% month-on-month and 11.7% year-on-year, Kallanish notes.
Austria remained 22nd in the ranking of top global steel producers in June, the data shows.
In January-June, the country produced 3.8 million tonnes of steel, versus 3.65mt in the first six months of 2025, amid the overall EU and global upward trend.
Overall EU output rose 4.6% on-year to 10.8mt in June, while H1 production was 65.3mt compared with 65.5mt in the first six months of 2025.
Austrian steel producer Voestalpine has announced it is planning a second electric arc furnace in Donawitz, in addition to the EAF that is due to start operations at the same site in just under a year.
Earlier this year, the company secured orders in the aerospace sector worth approximately €1 billion ($1.16 billion) over the next five years for its High Performance Metals Division. Production will take place at the Styrian sites in Kapfenberg and Mürzzuschlag, as well as at the Brazilian subsidiary Villares Metals in Sumare.
Spain’s electrical industry seeks withdrawal of GOES safeguards
The Spanish Association of Electrical Equipment Manufacturers (AFBEL) warned that antidumping measures on grain-oriented-electrical steel (GOES) could increase transformer production costs, delay investment and undermine European competitiveness.
The European Commission is evaluating whether to expand antidumping measures on GOES imports from China, Japan, South Korea, Russia and the US. The current duties were maintained following a previous expiry review and are due to expire on 18 January 2027 unless a new review is initiated, Kallanish notes.
EU producers may request a review by 18 October 2026 if they can demonstrate that removing the measure would likely result in renewed dumping and injury.
AFBEL argues that any decision taken without considering the impact on the electricity sector could worsen Europe’s existing transformer shortage.
“European industrial autonomy cannot be achieved by undermining the manufacturers that make its critical infrastructure possible,” says the association’s general director Mar Duque. “Europe needs a strong GOES industry, but it also needs a competitive transformer industry, capable of manufacturing the equipment required for electrification.”
The EU transformer industry includes more than 80 plants and employs over 20,000 people.
Estimates submitted during the antidumping investigation suggest European GOES producers can meet only about half of total demand. For the higher-grade GOES used in energy efficient transformers, local supply covers just 27% of demand, leaving a shortfall of about 150,000 tonnes. GOES demand is expected to grow by approximately 10% over the next decade.
AFBEL estimates the measures could increase transformer production costs by up to 30%, depending on equipment type and GOES content. The association warns the resulting costs could reach €800 million ($909.5m) annually for European industry and households.
Salzgitter launches HKM decarbonisation project
German steelmaker Salzgitter has initiated the decarbonisation of its Hüttenwerke Krupp Mannesmann (HKM) subsidiary, signing a contract with Tenova for the engineering, delivery, and installation of an electric arc furnace at its Duisburg steelworks, Salzgitter said on 29 July.
The new furnace will be Germany’s largest and the second largest within the European Union with an annual capacity of 2.5 mt and a planned production target of 2 mt of green steel. The implementation phase will start in August this year and is scheduled for completion in 2029.
Raw materials, either ferrous scrap or direct-reduced iron (DRI), will be fed into the system continuously via a conveyor belt system, and the exhaust heat will be used to preheat scrap metal, further decreasing emissions compared with conventional EAFs, Salzgitter said.
To learn more about Salzgitter’s decarbonisation initiatives and those of other steelmakers globally, see McCloskey’s Global Green Steel Profile.
Salzgitter acquired 100% of HKM’s shares in the first half of July, having finalised the transfer of ownership from fellow German steelmaker Thyssenkrupp and Vallourec.
The project will receive EUR200m in funding from the federal government and the state of North Rhine-Westphalia as part of the “Federal Funding for Industry and Climate Action” programme.
“With the construction of the electric arc furnace, HKM will be directly integrated into the Salzgitter Group’s transformation strategy towards low-carbon steel production,” Gunnar Groebler, Chairman of the Executive Board of Salzgitter, said. “With the electric arc furnace, we are laying the foundation for sustainable and competitive steel production at HKM and strengthening our position as a leading supplier of green steel for industrial value chains.”
Over the past few years, Salzgitter has signed a number of green steel supply agreements with end users, including companies in the automotive and white goods segments.
Salzgitter has not been active in the spot market for green steel, but has reportedly achieved premiums of around EUR300/t for low-CO2 hot-rolled coil (HRC) from its trial plant.
The latest spot deals for smaller lots of green HRC from other European steelmakers have been concluded at premiums of EUR150-180/t.
New decarbonisation investment and ETS
Salzgitter’s announcement of the EAF investment has come at an important time in light of the European Commission’s recent review of the EU’s Emissions Trading System (ETS).
Under the proposed reforms, free allocation – essentially the emissions allowances granted free of charge to polluting installations to mitigate carbon leakage risks – will be extended beyond the current 2034 phase-out date to 2038, reintroducing 15% of lost free allocation into ETS supply post-2028.
However, unlike the present ETS framework, free allocation would become conditional from 2031, limiting freely awarded EUAs to installations that have firmly committed to transformation projects aimed at decarbonising their processes. Specifically, 80% of eligible allowances for the five-year period from 2031-2035 would be granted annually upon proof of a final investment decision (where invested funds meet or exceed the free allocation requirement), with the remaining 20% released once projects enter the construction or operational phase.
Importantly, steelmakers can group installations under “joint decarbonisation investment agreements,” allowing one or more installations to fulfil the decarbonisation investment requirement for free allocation on behalf of all other installations within the agreement, provided the agreement is concluded prior to the submission of 2031-2035 free allocation applications, or by the end of September 2029. While it is not yet clear whether capital expenditures made before the 2029 deadline will qualify as evidence for post-2030 free allocation, it seems likely that the Commission will reward first movers. Moreover, if Salzgitter’s new EAF at HKM falls within the top 10% of best-performing installations, it may also be exempt from the free allocation evidence requirement for the HKM site (though not for other sites unless they qualify under the aforementioned joint agreement).
Previously jointly owned by Salzgitter, Thyssenkrupp, and Vallourec, HKM could previously have been covered by a joint decarbonisation investment agreement that mitigated investment requirements for all three participating companies. However, following Salzgitter’s full acquisition of the site and its stated plans to incorporate HKM into its SALCOS decarbonisation strategy, it seems less likely that HKM investments would benefit its former owners, which will have to commit to their own decarbonisation projects to qualify for free allocation from 2031.
Author: Benjamin Steven
Promise meets practicality in EC carbon policy overhaul
The European Commission proposed a number of support mechanisms and regulatory reforms in an attempt to better align its net zero goals with industrial realities in July, with primary changes affecting the EU’s flagship climate instrument, the Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS).
Contained in the 17 July proposal is the Commission’s long anticipated reform proposal for the ETS, as well as the Electrification Action Plan, which together aim to “make Europe the world’s first electro-powered continent,” according to Commission President von der Leyen.
McCloskey previously reported how the bloc’s steelmakers had formed battle lines surrounding the ETS debate, with the two camps generally split between larger integrated steelmakers most exposed to regulatory carbon cost escalations on their existing higher-carbon operations; and greenfield, secondary EAF, and first-mover producers that risked devaluation of their investment case should the ETS’ role as a ratcheting carbon price signal be weakened.
In many ways, the July package can be considered something of a sequel to 2025’s European Steel and Metals Action Plan (ESMAP), which sought to recover the general competitiveness of domestic steelmaking amid global overcapacity pressures.
Viewed retroactively, ESMAP implemented its commitments to varying degrees, with trade restrictions receiving the most attention: the EU’s new tariff-rate quota (TRQ) regime implemented from the start of July has been described as a “new era” for the EU’s steel market by McCloskey’s sources for its impact on international steel accessibility to the bloc, compounded by the definitive stage of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), which introduces significant administrative burdens – and financial costs – for domestic steel importers and foreign exporters alike.
However, policy support for domestic production under ESMAP has had a rockier go of it, with the EU’s first official green steel definition – taking the form of a ‘voluntary low-carbon label’ – cut from its scheduled implementation as part of the Industrial Accelerator Act (IAA), as well as ‘Made in EU’ content thresholds for low-carbon steel in the bloc’s public procurement mandates.
Indeed, the European Commission argued that ‘Made in EU’ content requirements for steel were no longer necessary given the strength of the new TRQ framework (with CBAM providing further limitation) in boosting domestic market share, which seems to indicate a presumption that trade-related competitiveness pressures have been sufficiently alleviated, allowing the Commission to look ahead to support steelmakers in actually getting on with decarbonisation efforts.
The proposed ETS reform, and Electrification Action Plan (EAP) therefore makes a number of changes to the existing carbon cost framework, and aims to rebalance the cost structure of industrial production to benefit industrial electrification.
In that context, the Commission has proposed to continue the practice of ‘free allocation’ – a mechanism that awards free emissions allowances to select energy-intensive industries – beyond its current 2034 exhaustion deadline; introducing a 15% EU Allowances (EUA) buffer across the phase-out curve from 2028, and effectively extending domestic carbon leakage protection until exhaustion in 2038.
According to the Commission, this adjusted trajectory maintains the ETS’ role as an “investment engine” via a strong and predictable carbon price signal, but one better aligned to the real pace of domestic industrial decarbonisation.
Author: Benjamin Steven
UAHE Revista InfoAcero Julio 2026
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Milan appeal court orders shutdown of ADI’s hot area
The Milan Court of Appeal has ordered Acciaierie d’Italia (ADI), formerly known as Ilva, to shut down production in the hot section of its Taranto steel plant within the next 90 days, according to a ruling released on 27 July.
In order to resume operations, the court requested the complete removal of all asbestos present at the site and the implementation of measures to reduce dust emissions to the regulated limits.
The Milan court originally ordered the suspension of production at the Taranto plant on health grounds in late February 2026, but the ruling was conditional on the completion of required environmental interventions.
Immediately after the latest court decision, the President of the Council of Ministers of Italy, Giorgia Meloni, convened an urgent meeting in Rome, and the authorities also met with trade unions on 28 July.
The UILM trade union called for an eight-hour strike and requested that the authorities work together to find a solution.
“Ninety days is a scary number, but we’re not afraid, and these ninety days must be used to the fullest to build a set of concrete solutions,” UILM General Secretary Davide Sperti said. “Over the next ninety days, the government must assume responsibility for guiding this process, ensuring transparency, resources, and a strong public presence. There is no longer room for delays, partial solutions, or operations constructed without the involvement of workers. This time, time must be used to make decisions.”
The unions will meet with the Ministry of Enterprises and Made in Italy (MIMIT) and local authorities next week.
The decision of the court and its impact on the future of ADI were characterised as “asbestos and chaos” by a source close to the matter, and the doomsday attitude was echoed by an Italian distribution source who said that “we are witnessing the agony of Ilva”.
Market sentiment, however, was not entirely pessimistic, and sources believe that the Italian authorities will find an alternative solution, possibly by providing guarantees that the emission issues will be resolved in order to postpone the implementation of the court ruling and secure the sale of the plant.
Upcoming sale of ADI
The ruling came at a sensitive time as ADI is about to be sold, and the plant requires additional funds to operate until the deal is finalised. Italian authorities have been discussing an additional EUR100 million to allow the plant to continue operating.
The two bidders for ADI are India’s Jindal Group and US investment firm Flacks Group. The latter is understood to be preparing to create a new Italian steel company called Flacksider, cooperating with other steel companies to acquire ADI, according to market sources.
In June, Flacks Group confirmed that it had established a technical working group to develop an industrial plan for ADI. The group included Luca Villa, CEO of Metinvest Adria, and Alberto Perin, Plant Sales Director and Chief Marketing Officer at Danieli Group.
In March, Jindal Steel expressed interest in acquiring ADI, returning to the race for the mill after withdrawing in 2025.
Both potential buyers have presented decarbonisation plans to replace the existing blast furnaces (BFs) with a direct-reduced iron (DRI)-electric arc furnace (EAF) production route.
Market participants suggested that Jindal Steel was looking to acquire European steelmaking capacities to roll semi-finished products from its new steel plant in Oman, which will produce low-CO2 steel.
To learn more about decarbonization projects in Italy, Oman and globally – see McCloskey’s Global Green Steel Profile.
Steel market reaction
“The ruling on the former Ilva represents the culmination of a judicial approach that ignores industrial reality. Demanding the removal of asbestos from the blast furnaces means imposing a requirement that is incompatible with the plant’s very technology: it is like demanding that a car operate without an engine,” Antonio Gozzi, President of Italian steel association Federacciai, said.
Gozzi also highlighted that if the same requirements were applied to other steelmakers, all BFs would have to shut down because the production route would no longer be viable, according to Federacciai.
Although ADI has been largely absent from the spot market, operating at reduced rates and focusing on deliveries to long-term customers, any further reduction in domestic output would have a major impact on the European steel coil market.
The ruling to close ADI’s furnaces came after the new tariff-rate quotas (TRQs) for steel imports came into force in the EU on 1 July. This resulted in significant cuts to import availability for coil and pushed European buyers towards domestic steelmakers to substitute lost import volumes. Notably, several distributors had to cancel or divert orders for imported hot-rolled coil (HRC) due to fully utilised quotas.
The restricted import availability has supported a rise in domestic coil prices in Europe in July, and the uptrend is expected to continue through the remainder of the year.
McCloskey’s domestic HRC price assessment in Italy was EUR700/t ex-works Italy on 24 July, up EUR35/t since the start of the month.
Market participants have already said that buyers requiring significant imported HRC volumes as feedstock, such as re-rollers and pipemakers, face significant shortages due to the new quotas, and the ordered closure of ADI would further reduce availability.
On 13 June, the Italian Supreme Court ruled against the restart of operations at ADI’s BF No. 1, stating that the equipment would remain under seizure. The furnace has remained shut down since May last year following a fire.
ADI currently operates only one blast furnace and is not present in the spot market, supplying limited volumes of flat steel only to contract-based customers.
Author: Maria Tanatar

