HRC prices hold across Europe; Australia-origin cargo booked to Italy

Insufficient end-user demand and oversupply continued to weigh on European hot-rolled coil prices on Tuesday July 16, and a rebound was considered unlikely in the near term, sources told Fastmarkets.

Offers of HRC in Northern Europe were reported at €640-670 ($698-731) per tonne ex-works or delivered for August-September delivery, but buyers’ price ideas were heard no higher than €620-630 per tonne ex-works.

Some bids were even reported at €600 per tonne ex-works, but mills in the region were reluctant to accept such low prices.

In general, trading in the region remained dull, and the spot market continued to be “heavily oversupplied,” sources said.

“The automotive industry is taking less volumes [of HRC], so extra tonnages go to the spot market,” a buyer in Germany said.

The effects of new EU import safeguard measures were yet to be felt in the market, and sources said it would take them “six to nine months to clear [import] tonnages which are currently in the pipeline.”

“Nobody is missing [HRC] volumes in Europe — on the contrary, mills are fighting for every single tonne, so a price increase is only wishful thinking of mills,” a buyer in the Benelux area said.

Negotiations with the automotive industry for contracts for the second half of 2024 were still under way, sources said, with no progress reported so far.

“Mills and buyers are just dragging time,” a consumer source in Germany said.

For the first half of 2024, HRC contracts with original equipment manufacturers in the automotive industry have reportedly been signed at €750-800 per tonne.

Buyers have reportedly been seeking discounts of €100 per tonne for the second half of the year, while producers are aiming for a rollover, sources said.

“No rollover is possible [for contract prices in the second half of 2024], the gap with spot [prices] will be too wide,” a second source in Germany said. “But, equally, a €100 per tonne discount is very unlikely.”

Fastmarkets calculated its daily steel hot-rolled coil index domestic, exw Northern Europe at €631.25 ($688.26) per tonne on Tuesday, flat from Monday July 15.

The index was down by €1.88 per tonne week on week and by €3.75 per tonne month on month.

Meanwhile, in Southern Europe, Fastmarkets calculated its daily steel hot-rolled coil index domestic, exw Italy at €620.00 per tonne on Tuesday, down by €5.00 per tonne from €625.00 per tonne on Monday.

The index was down by €8.33 per tonne week on week and by €11.88 per tonne month on month.

An integrated mill in Italy was heard offering August-September delivery coil at €640-650 per tonne delivered in the country, which nets back to €630-640 per tonne ex-works.

Bids for such material were heard at €600-610 per tonne delivered, but European mills deemed such prices as “unworkable.”

Transactions were heard done from a re-roller in Italy at €620 per tonne ex-works for small lots of coil.

A cargo of HRC from Australia was booked to Italy at €580 per tonne CFR recently, sources said.

“[Australia] is an unusual origin for Italy to book from, but with key major suppliers [Vietnam, Taiwan, Japan, Egypt] basically out of the game due to new [EU import] safeguards, it was only a matter of time for new suppliers to emerge,” a buyer in Italy said.

No new offers were reported from Asia.

Sources reported HRC offers from India and Saudi Arabia at €595-605 per tonne CFR to Italy.

Published by: Julia Bolotova