Steel distributors’ association EUROMETAL’s inaugural market sentiment survey shows that members expect fourth-quarter steel prices to remain generally stable, despite below-average activity in the third quarter.
Respondents across different European markets that are exposed to different end-use sectors all agreed that current market activity is below average. Most major markets expect final-quarter activity to remain below average, but the outlook for the UK and Ireland, the Balkans and the Visegrad region is slightly more optimistic, with average or stable activity anticipated. Yet prices in all geographical markets are forecast as stable, except for Iberia, where respondents see higher prices in the fourth quarter.
Most major end-use sectors are likely to remain subdued, with forecasts for continued below-average activity in the automotive, construction, packaging, machinery and white goods segments. Respondents expect activity to tick up to above-average in the tubes and energy sectors from below average at present.
Stock levels going into the fourth quarter appear to be mostly stable, although flat steel service centres report below-average inventories. Perceptions about stocks in Italy, Iberia, the Nordics and Turkey are also down. Stocks in the white goods, automotive and packaging sectors are perceived as being below average and average in all other end-user segments.
By Lora Stoyanova