Despite efforts by mills last month to bring coil prices up somewhat, the prices paid on the market have, in fact, continued retreating.
Some European mills were trying to increase their prices by €20-30/tonne ($22-33), “but in reality, prices are getting more and more downward pressure. There is still too much material around, and demand is not in balance with supply,” a buyer at a Dutch steel user tells Kallanish. “I do not see any clear signals that the European market will improve in the next weeks.”
Transactions are now frequently undercutting the mark of €600/tonne ($667) for hot rolled coil. Another Dutch source assesses the range of spot market prices within the EU for HRC, at between €580/t and €620/t, “depending on volumes, region, quoting mills and desired lead time”, he points out.
Lead times can be extraordinarily short these days. “Four to six weeks is possible, but even sooner if required,” the Dutch buyer says. He expresses sympathy for the mills’ ongoing suffering and notes they are very accommodating as they are vying for the sparse order volume on the market.
Meanwhile, a Belgium-based trader tells of comments he hears from Poland. Customers there are even expecting that mills will lower their prices for October. It is not quite clear if that would apply to Polish/Central European mills, or also to close-by German mills. “But I am sure that will not be their [mills’] official statement,” the trader says.
Christian Koehl Germany
