European Parliament committee approves trade regulation, interinstitutional negotiations
The European Parliament’s Committee on International Trade (INTA) has voted to approve the proposed new steel trade regime and start interinstitutional negotiations between Parliament, Council and Commission. Unused quota volume carryover to the following quarter has been rejected, Kallanish notes.
The proposal to implement the melted and poured rule “only where justified by circumvention risks” was also rejected. INTA voted to maintain the original wording that gives the European Commission the power to lay down “the detailed rules for identifying the country in which the steel used in the production of the product is melted and poured and to amend Annex II to this Regulation”.
The total proposed annual tariff quota volume remains at 18,345,922 tonnes. Russia and Belarus product remains banned.
The committee approved the motion for the Commission to engage in “proactive and transparent communication with trade partners to clearly explain the reasons for adopting this measure and to identify ways to maintain equal and fair conditions so as not to disrupt the existing spirit of genuine trade cooperation, particularly with existing and future FTA partners affected by this instrument.”
However, it rejected the proposal that trading partners that have free trade agreements with the EU should receive preferential quota distribution. It also rejected the exclusion of Switzerland from the application of the out-of-quota duty.
This, however, seemed to be contradicted by European trade commissioner Maroš Šefčovič who told CNBC TV18 on Tuesday after the EU-India FTA was concluded that India, as an FTA partner, would have a privileged position in negotiations over access to the EU steel market.
The new trade regulation proposal raises the big question of how quota allocations will be negotiated with the EU’s multitude of FTA partners. This is likely to be a highly complex procedure since FTAs protect preferential trade with the EU and will be very difficult to change, Van Bael & Bellis trade lawyer Yuriy Rudyuk pointed out last month.
INTA also rejected the proposal that a defined minimum share of value added, components or materials should be sourced from within the Union for publicly funded projects, and that, in general public procurement, contracting authorities should give preference to steel and steel-containing EU-produced products.
The proposed regulation will now be voted on by the European Parliament in plenary next month, which will either endorse the committee’s decision to enter into negotiations or refer the report back to the committee.
India-EU FTA lifts end-user outlook, steel impact muted
The conclusion of the India-EU Free Trade Agreement (FTA) marks a strategic shift in India’s trade engagement with Europe, but its immediate impact on the steel sector remains limited, with carbon regulation, tariff structures and timing emerging as binding constraints, Kallanish understands.
Market participants broadly agree that steel trade is unlikely to receive a near-term boost, as CBAM remains fully intact. CBAM does not provide exceptional treatment for individual countries or industries and the FTA does not alter its application.
This pressure has intensified following the withdrawal of EU Generalised System of Preferences (GSP) benefits for India from 1 January 2026, under the bloc’s graduation rules. An industry veteran stresses that this move is not part of the FTA but materially reshapes market access conditions.
The EU removed GSP tariff preferences on around 87% of Indian exports, including iron and steel. As a result, these products now face most-favoured nation (MFN) duties of 2-7%. Sources estimate these translate into an average competitiveness loss of around 20%, once duty impact, logistics and pricing effects are combined with CBAM compliance costs.
India’s commerce ministry highlights the FTA includes forward-looking MFN assurances under CBAM, enhanced cooperation on carbon pricing recognition, verifier accreditation, best available technology and decarbonisation pathways, alongside access to EU technical and financial support. Market participants acknowledge these elements improve long-term visibility, but stress they do not ease near-term cost pressures.
“[Steel] exporters are set to face significant pressure following the withdrawal of GSP benefits and implementation of CBAM. However, a recovery may emerge by 2030 if FTA quotas [TRQs] can offset these costs, provided India successfully scales green steel production to meet CBAM standards for sustained EU market access,” an industry veteran notes.
“But we are happy after India declared the new FTA as the ‘mother of all deals’,” he adds.
Some participants see greater downside than upside risk in the near term, as improved access under the FTA could support inflows into India of specialised EU-origin steel, particularly plate and rail-linked products.
Kallanish analysis suggests the real steel impact of the India-EU FTA is indirect, via steel-consuming sectors (see table).
The engineering exports sector, a key steel end-user, stands out as the most positively impacted. Industry estimates suggest engineering exports to the EU could rise by around 25% year-on-year, from a current base of about $21 billion, supporting structurally higher domestic steel demand.
Automobiles may also benefit from quota-based liberalisation and regulatory cooperation. Other end-user sectors, including electronics, medical instruments, pharmaceuticals, aerospace and others, similarly support incremental steel demand.
Impact analysis
| Segment | FTA provision | Key data & tariffs | Impact on Indian steel |
| Steel Exports | Included under TRQs | GSP MFN duties (typically ~2-7%) remain; preferential access managed via quotas | Marginal/strategic: Limits direct volume but provides predictable access |
| Steel Imports | 22% duty cut to 0% phased over 10yrs, €1.5 billon in 2024 | Current ~0.3-0.4mt, mainly specialty steel | Moderate risk/opportunity: Benefits domestic mfg/infra via cheaper high-end steel as landed costs fall, but risk for domestic steel producers |
| CBAM | No outright exemption; technical cooperation expected | – | Structurally negative: high compliance risk for non-green steel |
| Engineering Goods | Current EU tariffs up to 22% removed | Estimate +25% y-o-y to $21bn | Strong Positive: Significant indirect demand for domestic steel |
| Mines & Minerals | Zero duty across 100% of tariff lines | Removes cost barriers for value-added mineral exports | Strategic Positive: Fuels partnerships with EU steel manufacturers |
| Machinery & Aerospace | Product Specific Rules with transition periods | Encourages ‘Make in India’ for complex manufacturing | Positive: Long-term growth in specialised steel consumption |
| Decarbonisation | Technical group for BAT, MRV, and verification | Focus on alignment with EU carbon standards | Strategic Positive: Essential pathway for sustained EU market access |
Source: commerce ministry, industry estimates, Kallanish
While the India-EU FTA enhances competitiveness by eliminating tariffs, CBAM remains a critical structural hurdle, shifting the advantage toward low-carbon producers through technical cooperation rather than tax exemptions.
Overall, the India-EU FTA reshapes the downstream demand environment for steel without changing the fundamentals of steel trade. For Indian steel, the opportunity lies less in near-term exports to Europe and more in supplying a more export-oriented, higher-value and increasingly decarbonised manufacturing base domestically.
French longs prices edge higher despite weak demand
French steel transaction prices are edging up by an average of €5-10/tonne ($6-12/t), as long product mills attempt to implement increases linked to higher production costs, rising scrap prices and the impact of CBAM on imports, Kallanish notes.
According to market sources, mills have announced hikes of up to €20/t, but buyers have generally accepted increases of no more than €10/t, depending on their December purchase levels.
Consumption remains weak, however, with several buyers telling Kallanish that price rises are proving difficult to pass downstream. Sources agree that CBAM is having only a limited impact on the longs market, where competition among European producers remains intense. While some restocking was reported in December, demand has been weak in January.
By contrast, sheet and tube prices are increasing gradually, supported by stronger protection measures on coil. Price increases for long products, however, remain uncertain.
One buyer notes that mills with a rigid attitude on price hikes are losing orders. Another large buyer adds he has purchased around three times less rebar than usual in France, instead sourcing material from other cheaper European suppliers.
French longs increases are mild as competition with other European producers results in cheaper material available to French buyers.
Sections mill prices are increasing by €20/t officially in France but not all European producers are implementing the hikes, while producers from Spain only increased values by €10/t for sales in France.
First-category sections in France have increased slightly from €730/t delivered last month to €735-740/t this month on average.
Domestic merchant bar prices are increasing in January contracts by some €10-15/t to €220-230/t base delivered, excluding €420/t in size extras. Rebar prices also ticked up by €10/t to about €600-610/t delivered on average.
Meanwhile, France’s construction sector continues to underperform. Market sources report cautious ordering from construction companies and do not anticipate any improvement before the second half of the year.
One source notes that infrastructure projects funded by the EU’s post-pandemic recovery programme are expected to fade in the second half of 2026 and eventually disappear, as EU rules require the funds to be fully allocated by year-end. Sources add that a substantial share of construction steel produced in France last year was absorbed by EU financed infrastructure projects, leaving the sector exposed as this support comes to an end.
EU steel demand boost legislation pushed back again to February
The European Union has postponed its Accelerator Act until the end of February, a spokesperson of the cabinet of the European Commissioner for Prosperity and Industrial Strategy Stéphane Séjourné told Platts, part of S&P Global Energy on Jan. 26.
This is the second delay for a key legislation designed to boost demand for EU-made low-carbon steel and other industrial products.
“It has been postponed in order to maintain this to a very high level of ambition, as the deal is discussed today, and we believe that ambition should prevail over haste,” the spokesperson said.
The legislation was originally scheduled for publication by the end of December 2025, then pushed to the end of January before the latest delay to February. The Accelerator Act represents a critical piece of EU industrial policy aimed at boosting competitiveness, decarbonization and demand for European-made products.
Steel implications
For the steel sector, the legislation could prove pivotal as European steelmakers invest heavily in cleaner production technologies to manufacture low-carbon emissions steel. The act is expected to include public procurement requirements that would mandate a significant percentage of low-carbon steel made in Europe for infrastructure projects, rail networks, renewable energy installations and public buildings.
These sectors represent enormous steel demand, and preferential treatment for EU-produced low-carbon steel could provide crucial market support as the industry transitions to cleaner production methods.
The European steel industry faces mounting pressure from global overcapacity and geopolitical tensions that are reshaping supply chains.
Séjourné has also proposed another important measure for the steel industry — the new imports measures designed to replace the current safeguard that is due to expire at the end of June. The new measures must still be discussed by the plenary, as the committee already discussed it, the spokesperson said.
At the end of December 2025, the Council maintained the core protective elements of the Commission’s proposal, notably the substantial reduction in import quotas (limiting tariff-free import volumes to 18.3 million mt/year, a reduction of 47% compared to 2024 steel quotas) and the doubling of the out-of-quota duty to 50% compared to 25% under the current steel safeguard. At the same time, it incorporates several amendments to increase flexibility, legal clarity and consideration for the economic interests of downstream users.
Platts, part of S&P Global Energy, assessed Northwest European hot-rolled coil carbon-accounted at Eur705/mt ex-works Ruhr Jan. 23, up Eur5/mt day over day.
On Jan. 23, Platts assessed domestic HRC in Northern Europe at Eur635/mt ex-works Ruhr, and imported HRC in Northern Europe at Eur505/mt CIF Antwerp, unchanged day over day.
EU Parliament Trade Committee supports major cut in steel import quotas
On Tuesday, the International Trade Committee adopted a series of measures to counteract the negative impact of global overproduction on the EU steel market.
By 36 votes in favour and 2 against, with 5 abstentions, MEPs on the International Trade Committee have adopted their position on the proposed regulation to counteract the negative trade-related effects of the global steel production surplus on the Union market. The global steel safeguards in place since 2018 under the World Trade Organisation (WTO) will expire on 30 June 2026.
The approved text envisages lower import quotas, limiting tariff-free import volumes to 18.3 million tonnes a year – a reduction of 47% compared with 2024 steel quotas. It would also apply a 50% customs duty to imports above the quota and to steel goods not covered by the quota.
The draft regulation seeks to strengthen the traceability of imported steel products by clarifying the evidence to be provided by importers on the origin of their steel.
Members reiterated the need for the new regulation to comply with WTO rules and asked the Commission to monitor the impact of the regulation and assess the possibility to amend the products covered by the rules.
Finally, the draft legislation would ban all steel imports from Russia and Belarus, adding steel to the list of goods for which there are already restrictions on imports from the two countries.
After the vote, rapporteur Karin Karlsbro (Renew, SE), said: ” Steel production is a strategic priority for Europe. In times of geopolitical uncertainty, the strength of our steel industry is central to Europe’s resilience. Today, we have said yes to continued tariff-free trade with Ukraine and no to Russian steel imports into the EU. This is a clear demonstration of European resolve.”
The International Trade Committee also approved the decision to start negotiations with the Council, with the aim of reaching a deal on the final form of the bill in the Spring.
Source: europarl.europa.eu
European steel HRC prices firm; CBAM adds ‘gambling’ element to imports
In Northern Europe, major integrated mills followed market leader ArcelorMittal and also announced higher offer prices for April-delivery coil.
Notably, in Germany offers were reported at €670-675 ($799-805) per tonne for April delivery, while a supplier in the Benelux area was hoping to get around €675-680 per tonne ex-works.
ArcelorMittal kept its offers at €700 per tonne delivered (€685-690 per tonne ex-works) for April volumes.
Major suppliers in the region were practically sold-out for March deliveries already, market sources said.
New offers have not yet been achieved in any deals, with buyers’ estimates of achievable prices at €640-660 per tonne ex-works.
“There is no major restocking yet, but mills are well booked and are absolutely in no rush,” a buyer in Germany said. “Buyers, however, will not have many options to choose from – importing is a total disaster because of CBAM.”
As a result, Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Northern Europe, was €649.50 per tonne on January 27, up by €3.25 per tonne from €646.25 per tonne on January 26.
The index was up by €8.75 per tonne week on week and by €22.00 per tonne month on month.
The corresponding daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Italy, was calculated at €637.96 per tonne on Tuesday, increasing only by €0.46 per tonne from €637.50 per tonne a day earlier.
The index was up by €6.29 per tonne week on week and by €14.84 per tonne month on month.
Italian producers were still able to offer March-delivery coil, according to several market sources.
Target offers were heard at €670-680 per tonne delivered (€655-665 per tonne ex-works).
Buyers estimated achievable prices at €630-640 per tonne ex-works, in line with the most recent transactions.
“Italian suppliers moved to increase offers on [January 23], following ArcelorMittal’s example, but these new prices have not yet been accepted by buyers,” a trade source in Italy said.
Industry sources agreed that the implementation of CBAM and its effects on new imports remained the major driver behind recent price increases in the European market.
“CBAM has turned the import business area into a casino – we are gambling with prices, we have no idea what the final costs of the imported coil will be in the end,” a second buyer in Italy said.
“Risks of new imports are unprecedented. We buy imported coil today, not knowing the exact price when it arrives in Europe,” a third buyer said.
Market sources reported offers from Turkey at €520-530 per tonne CFR including anti-dumping duty, and at €540 per tonne from Algeria and Saudi Arabia.
On a DDP basis, with CBAM costs partially accounted for, Turkish HRC was on offer to Italy around €630-640 per tonne, market sources said.
From Asia, HRC offers were reported at €610-620 per tonne DDP, but trade sources were cautious about CBAM costs in this case.
“Asian suppliers have high default values and long lead times. It’s a risky booking because CBAM costs eventually might exceed those [quoted] in the initial agreement,” another buyer said.
Another trade source said that there were some HRC offers from Asian mills available at prices “below €600 per tonne DDP,” but this was not confirmed by the market at the time of publication.
Positive mood persists in European domestic steel HRC market rises as import competition weakens
The tone of European domestic market for steel hot-rolled coil (HRC) continued to strengthen despite cautious demand while competition against imports weakened following the introduction of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), Fastmarkets heard on Monday January 26.
“End-user demand remains cautious, but expectations for a gradual price increase persist amid CBAM-related uncertainty, encouraging buyers to prioritize European material,” a buyer from the Benelux area said.
A producer from the same region reported that official offers of HRC scheduled for delivery in April were €685 ($803) per tonne ex-works, in line with the market leader.
Nevertheless, estimates of workable prices for April delivery varied within the range of €650-660 per tonne ex-works. This was still up from €640-645 per tonne ex-works heard in recent estimates of workable prices for March-delivery coil that was still available from some suppliers in Northern Europe.
Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Northern Europe, was €646.25 ($764.64) per tonne on January 26, up by €3.75 per tonne from €642.50 on January 23.
The index was also up by €5.62 per tonne week on week and by €18.75 per tonne month on month.
In Italy, offers of February- and March-delivery HRC were heard at €650 per tonne ex-works, with some suppliers ready to give concessions down to €630 per tonne ex-works but others remaining firm.
Estimates of workable prices varied within the range of €630-640 per tonne ex-works.
As a result, Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Italy, was calculated at €637.50 per tonne on Monday, up from €635.00 per tonne on Friday.
The index was up by €5.83 per tonne week on week and by €14.38 per tonne month on month.
“Coil prices in Italy have edged upward slightly, supported by limited import competition and a growing shift toward EU suppliers,” one market source said.
Asia-origin HRC was quoted at €610-620 per tonne DDP, while a Turkish HRC offer was heard at €510 per tonne CFR, excluding anti-dumping duty and CBAM-related costs.
“Most service centers remain reluctant to take on CBAM exposure,” the source added, “and prefer prices that fully incorporate these costs.”
Growing feedstock costs, tighter availability push Polish domestic long steel prices higher
Polish domestic rebar and wire rod prices climbed further during the week to Friday January 23 amid growing feedstock costs caused by tighter availability.
Market participants cited increasing scrap and electricity costs as the primary reason for mills’ higher offers, which is a trend common in many European markets.
Harsher-than-normal winter weather is also slowing scrap collection across the region.
“We sold several [scrap] cargoes earlier this month but we cannot deliver them,” one trader said, referring to weather conditions.
Ukraine has also imposed a complete ban on exports of scrap out of the country for 2026, while in 2025 the country delivered around 300,000 tonnes, according to the trader.
In addition, the introduction of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) on January 1, 2026 has caused uncertainty in the import sector, resulting in delays in bookings of import billet and competing import long steel products.
In such conditions, mills in Poland have raised offers for both rebar and wire rod.
Rebar offers were between 2,550 zloty ($716) and 2,700 zloty per tonne CPT, with workable levels estimated at 2,550-2,600 zloty per tonne CPT.
Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for steel reinforcing bar (rebar), domestic, cpt Poland was 2,550-2,600 zloty per tonne on Friday, up from 2,480-2,550 zloty per tonne one week prior.
Wire rod offers varied within 2,600-2,700 zloty per tonne delivered, with workable prices said to be within 2,600-2,650 zloty per tonne delivered.
Fastmarkets’ weekly price assessment for steel wire rod (drawing quality), domestic, delivered Poland was 2,600-2,650 zloty per tonne, stable week on week.
While prices were rising on higher feedstock costs, demand was said to be muted due to slower activity at construction sites as well as sufficient customer stocks.
Offers of Italian rebar were heard at €605-610 ($715-721) per tonne CPT in the reported week.
Wire rod of the same origin was offered at €630-640 per tonne CPT.
European domestic HRC prices flat amid muted trade, but sentiment stays positive
European domestic hot-rolled coil prices were largely unchanged on Friday, January 23, amid muted trading, but overall sentiment was optimistic, sources said, due to uncertainty over imports since the introduction of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM).
“CBAM is doing good job for EU steel mills,” an importer source told Fastmarkets on January 23.
Another importer said that import activity had slowed down notably since the beginning of the year.
In such conditions mills in Europe are pushing up offers for material with delivery in March and April.
March-delivery coil from Germany’s integrated suppliers was available at €650 ($764) per tonne ex-works, sources said..
And HRC from Italy was on offer to Germany at €650-670 per tonne delivered, with March lead times still available, Fastmarkets understands.
Estimates of the workable price in the region came in at €640-650 per tonne ex-works for March delivery on January 23, while April volumes are expected to be traded at minimum of €650 per tonne.
There was a rumor about €670 per tonne ex-works being achieved for April delivery cargoes, sources said, but this could not be widely confirmed by the time of publication.
A producer from the Benelux area said that, from the perspective of the automotive industry, which is one of the key consumers of flat steel products, 2026 should be another year of “stability.”
Other sources also admitted that, despite the fact that local mills are well booked buying activity at the moment is somewhat slow due to sufficient stocks.
Fastmarkets’ daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Northern Europe, was €642.50 ($752.52) per tonne on Friday, January 23 down slightly by €1.25 from €643.75 per tonne on January 22.
The index was up by €2.00 per tonne week on week and by €15.83 per tonne month on month.
The corresponding daily steel hot-rolled coil index, domestic, exw Italy, was calculated at €635.00 per tonne on Friday, down negligibly by €0.63 from €635.63 per tonne a day earlier.
The index was up by €3.75 per tonne week on week and by €17.50 per tonne month on month.
Offers of March-delivery HRC were heard at around €650 per tonne ex-works, although no deals have been confirmed at that price, sources said.
Other market participants put the workable price in Italy at closer to €630-635 per tonne ex-works, with some sellers claiming to be already sold out of March-delivery coil.
Leaked EU Industrial Accelerator Act seeks to unlock green steel demand, stalled investments
A leaked draft of the EU’s Industrial Accelerator Act (IIA), seen by Fastmarkets on Thursday January 22, sets out plans to accelerate decarbonization across strategic sectors, including steel, as part of a broader push to strengthen EU industrial competitiveness.
The IIA, part of the Commission’s Clean Industrial Deal, was originally due for publication in December, before being pushed to January 29 2026 and then to February 25, sources said.
The proposed regulation targets energy‑intensive industries, with steel singled out to be a priority due to declining production, rising imports, global overcapacity and a widening cost gap with competing regions since 2021.
More than half of announced decarbonization projects across energy‑intensive sectors, including steel, remain unimplemented because of high costs, weak demand signals and lengthy permitting procedures.
According to the draft, the EU’s share of global industrial value added fell to 14.3% in 2020, down from 20.8% in 2000, while production in energy‑intensive industries has “substantially decreased since 2021.”
Steel capacity utilization was described to be “unsustainably low,” and import penetration continues to rise, particularly in basic metals.
“Without decisive action, the EU risks further de‑industrialization precisely at a time when global partners are accelerating their industrial strategies and weaponizing their industrial successes,” the document says.
The draft calls on EU institutions and Member States to ensure manufacturing accounts for at least 20% of EU gross value added by 2030.
EU‑27 crude steel output reached 129.5 million tonnes in 2024, up 2.6% year on year but still well below pre‑2022 levels amid high energy costs, weak demand and ongoing economic headwinds, data from the European steel industry association EUROFER shows.
In early December EUROFER said in its fourth quarter market outlook that apparent steel consumption is projected to grow only modestly by 3% in 2026, leaving it well below the pre-pandemic levels. EUROFER also confirmed its earlier projection for 2025 of a 0.2% drop in apparent steel consumption to 128 million tonnes.
While both steel production and consumption in the EU have declined, imports have continued to gain market share, crowding out domestic supply, sources said.
EUROFER data shows carbon steel imports into the EU reached 26.36 million tonnes in 2024, up by 6.4% from 24.78 million tonnes in 2023. Over the first three quarters of 2025, carbon steel imports totaled 19.9 million tonnes.
Imports are currently estimated to account for around 25% of the EU flat steel market, industry stakeholders said.
Public procurement to drive low‑carbon steel demand
Under the leaked draft, minimum low‑carbon and “Made in EU” requirements would apply to steel used in construction and transport projects receiving public procurement or public financial support.
Unlike earlier policy discussions, these requirements would be limited strictly to public intervention, rather than steel sold on the wider market, a move the Commission says avoids disproportionate costs for downstream users, while helping create European-led markets.
Market participants generally agreed that public procurement would be essential to scale demand.
“Green steel will only spread through the supply chain once it becomes part of public procurement,” a German distributor said.
A mill source in Europe said, “if authorities do not push for green steel use through public procurement, [green steel] will remain a niche market.”
The draft aligns the entry into force of both the low‑carbon and EU‑origin requirements for steel to 2030, aiming to ensure demand visibility and support early‑stage markets.
Steel and cement are identified as priority materials because together they account for more than 6% of EU greenhouse gas emissions. Steel has also suffered a “substantial decline in EU market share” over the past decade, leaving the sector more exposed to further capacity loss. Market sources confirmed that integrated steel mills have operated at around 70% utilization at best in recent years.
Voluntary EU‑wide carbon‑intensity label
A voluntary EU‑wide carbon‑intensity label for steel is a central feature of the proposal. The label would rely heavily on existing EU Emission Trading System (ETS) data to minimize administrative burden and would be used in public procurement, public support schemes and investment frameworks.
Steel used in construction will fall under the low‑carbon definition of the Construction Products Regulation. Other steel products will be covered by ecodesign‑linked implementing rules, according to the document.
A lack of unified definitions has been a key barrier to green steel uptake, making the label an important step toward market clarity, sources said.
Fastmarkets has launched two low‑carbon steel assessments since 2023, differentiating based on emissions thresholds:
Fastmarkets’ methodology defines European green flat steel as “steel produced with Scope 1, 2 or 3 emissions at a maximum of 0.8 tonnes of CO2 per tonne of steel.”
Fastmarkets’ weekly assessment of the green steel domestic, flat-rolled, differential to HRC index, exw Northern Europe, was €100-150 ($117-176) per tonne on Thursday, narrowing from €100-170 per tonne the preceding week.
Demand for green steel has so far been niche and fragmented across Europe, with market participants highlighting the need for clear labelling and public procurement rules to boost buying interest.
Fastmarkets’ assessment of the flat steel reduced carbon emissions differential, exw Northern Europe, was €40-50 per tonne on January 22, stable over the recent week.
Fastmarkets’ methodology defines reduced carbon emissions flat steel as steel produced with carbon emissions thresholds of 1.4-1.8 tonnes of CO2 per tonne of steel,
Amid the lack of a clear definitions and standards for green steel, 30-40% decarbonized steel was suitable choice for many buyers, sources said.
One source pointed out that in some cases suppliers were selling reduced carbon steel without any premium, for marketing purposes.
Currently, 60% of the steel produced in Europe originates from the integrated blast furnace/basic oxygen furnace route (BF-BOF). Standard carbon emissions from this production route amount to around 2.0-2.2 tonnes of CO2 (direct and indirect emissions), according to the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA)Streamlined permitting for decarbonization projects
The leaked draft proposes a streamlined permitting framework for steel decarbonization projects, explicitly extending key provisions of the Net-Zero Industry Act (NZIA) to energy-intensive industries, including steel.
Under the proposal, steel decarbonization projects would benefit from:
– Single permit applications covering all authorizations
– Mandatory digital permitting and data reuse
– Legally binding decision timelines, aligned with NZIA rules
– Tacit approval at intermediate stages, except where environmental impact assessments apply
– A presumption of overriding public interest for large-scale projects such as hydrogen-based DRI and electric-arc furnaces
The Commission said permitting delays and regulatory uncertainty have been a key factor behind postponed or stalled final investment decisions for low-carbon steel projects.
Steel projects located in designated industrial acceleration areas would benefit from additional advantages, including prioritized infrastructure assessments and coordinated timelines for grid and energy connections.
Scrap availability and raw materials security
The leaked draft also places a strong emphasis on access to secondary raw materials, particularly steel scrap, as a key enabler of the EU’s industrial decarbonization strategy.
Many EU blast furnaces (BFs) are reaching end-of-life and need replacement or upgrades. Over 50% of EU blast furnaces are due to be retired before 2035, stakeholders estimate. EU producers now face critical decisions on whether to re-invest in existing asset base or pursue decarbonized alternatives.
In recent years, major European steelmakers have announced ambitious decarbonization strategies mainly using the same approach, aiming to replace BF-BOF capacity with electric arc furnaces (EAFs) and hydrogen-fueled direct-reduced iron (DRI) modules.
The first wave of EU’s announced green steel DRI/EAF projects has already faced increasing pressure relating to raw materials availability and energy pricing. DR-grade pellet, high-quality scrap, and reliable renewable electricity remain critical constraints for scaling low-carbon output, Fastmarkets reported
Member States are encouraged to take “appropriate measures” to ensure that scrap metals and other secondary raw materials generated within the EU – including steel, aluminium and copper scrap, as well as black mass, are, where economically viable, first made available for recovery, recycling or re-use within the Union.
According to the draft, priority should be given to supplying industrial installations and projects located in designated industrial acceleration areas, reflecting the Commission’s concern over growing competition for scrap and the risk of export-driven shortages.
Access to scrap is outlined in the document as a strategic issue for steelmaking, particularly as the EU transitions toward EAF steel production, which relies heavily on steel scrap.
Global overcapacity and economic security concerns
The Commission repeatedly links steel to broader economic security concerns, warning that persistent vulnerabilities in strategic supply chains could “weaken the economy, slow down investments and ultimately undermine public support for the transition.”
Global overcapacity, particularly in steel, is cited as a growing risk, alongside widening cost gaps with other regions and high energy prices.
“If these supply chains are not secured and protected, significant economic and societal risks could emerge, including disruption of public order in the Union,” the draft reads.
While the Industrial Accelerator Act does not introduce new steel trade defense measures directly, it is designed to operate alongside existing instruments, including trade defenses and CBAM, to reinforce EU steel competitiveness.
The draft remains subject to change ahead of formal adoption.


